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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (3757)1/28/2006 5:36:25 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219446
 
Can Latin America Challenge India?
With proximity to the U.S. and free trade agreements in place, many countries south of the border are building up their outsourcing infrastructure

ELMAT: If they only dropped the anti-American rhethoric!!

In a spurt of inspiration, Softtek trademarked the term NearShore. And over the past eight years, it has fine-tuned the concept, says 46-year-old CEO Blanca Trevino. "The U.S. was right next door, but we had to offer a differentiated product in order to get their business," she says. "We were the biggest in Mexico, but we were very small in comparison to India. If we hadn't come up with something to set us apart, we wouldn't have gone anywhere."

CLOSER TO HOME. Three years ago, Softtek bought General Electric's (GE) Mexico-based IT operations, absorbing nearly 1,000 engineers. As a result, Softtek became the multinational's main nearshore solution for IT work in Latin America, performing support and maintenance for GE's commercial finance and energy groups. Since then, Softtek's revenues have been growing 40% annually and hit $146 million in 2005, with more than half of the business from U.S. clients.

Now, Softtek has 3,500 employees, mostly engineers, making it the largest IT outsourcer in Latin America. Softtek, based in Monterrey, Mexico, has offices in the U.S., Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Peru, Puerto Rico, Venezuela, and Spain.

Why go to Mexico, where labor costs are higher than in India? Because the efficiency gains from working close to the U.S. and in the same time zone mean nearshoring in Mexico costs about the same as offshoring in India, says Trevino. Up to 95% of work can be performed off-site, in Mexico, compared to just 60% to 65% for clients working with Indian providers, she adds.

NONNUCLEAR NEIGHBOR. GE still outsources 90% of its IT work to India, sending just 6% to Mexico, says Steve Morrison, GE's London-based head of Global IT outsourcing. But, he notes, as India's costs rise, Mexico will look better and better. "If things continue as they are, India eventually will be charging the same unit cost as Mexico," he says. That's why Indian companies have been hustling to find ways to perform a higher percentage of the work off-site in India, he says.

Morrison points to another advantage Mexico has over India: Due to U.S. legislative restrictions, certain kinds of projects involving sensitive aviation and energy technology are more likely to go to Mexico than to India, a nuclear-power nation.

Argentina, which boasts one of the best-educated workforces in Latin America, also is aggressively promoting software development centers. That effort was helped by a major 2002 currency devaluation that made Argentina super-cost-competitive and drove down the cost of engineers to less than $12,000 a year. The industry has been growing two to three times as fast as the overall economy and this year will have revenues of about $1.6 billion.

"Economies in acute crisis have one major advantage: You can start a new company with a smaller investment and find highly skilled and motivated people very easily," says Carlos Pallotti, Datastream Systems' managing director for Latin America and president of Argentina's Association of Information Technology Companies.

DEVELOPING ARGENTINA. A software industry promotion law introduced in 2004 also gives companies big tax breaks and helped create high-tech clusters in four Argentine cities. That has attracted such companies as Walt Disney (DIS), Microsoft (MSFT), Peugeot, and Repsol (REP) seeking Web-site design and software developers. In addition, IT players including Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Oracle (ORCL), Cisco (CSCO), IBM (IBM), America Online (TWX), and palmOne (PALM) have consolidated their regional back-office and customer-service operations in Argentina.

In 2000, Cordoba province persuaded Motorola (MOT) to build a $40 million software development center there, 1 of only 14 in the world, and in 2005 it scored another coup when microchip giant Intel (INTC) agreed to set up a software research center at a local university -- just its third such facility worldwide.

"The Argentine authorities understand that technology is an engine of growth, which generates competitiveness in the global marketplace," says Esteban Galuzzi, Intel's general manager for the Southern Cone region that includes Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay.

WARMING UP TO CHILE. Thanks to its economic and political stability, as well as its state-of-the-art telecom infrastructure, neighboring Chile also has attracted considerable attention as an outsourcing center. Its network of free trade agreements with a number of countries, from the U.S. to China, is another draw. Multinationals that have set up in-house outsourcing centers for software development, back-office services, and call centers include Citigroup (C), Unilever (UN), Eastman Kodak (EK), and Delta Air Lines (DALRQ).

GE outsourced all its tech support manuals for aircraft engines to a Chilean company. Hewlett-Packard found a local outfit to provide regional tech support for its imaging and printing division. And global outsourcing companies such as IBM, Accenture (ACN), and Tata Consultancy Services provide services from Chile.

Costa Rica is the Central American country best known for the software development industry that was spawned by the 1997 arrival of Intel, which built a chip-testing facility in San Jose, the capital. A number of software development companies provide custom programming, mostly to Latin American clients, many of them in the financial industry.

WAITING FOR THE CALL. But if there's a Central American country that's coming on strong -- albeit from a minuscule base -- it's Nicaragua. After suffering through political instability in the 1970s and 1980s, its investment-promotion agency, ProNicaragua, is convinced that offshoring is the country's best bet for development.

The agency recruited Juan Carlos Pereira, a Nicaraguan-born Harvard MBA and former telecom executive who was educated in the U.S., where his family fled Nicaragua's political turmoil. "We're trying to jump-start the industry," says Pereira. The government invested $3 million to build a 500-workstation call center in downtown Managua, the capital, and is putting together a training program to improve the English skills of 7,500 people, "so that when companies come, we will be ready."

They're pitching the project to potential anchor clients, such as multinationals that may already have operations somewhere like Costa Rica but that need a lower-cost destination. And they're talking to some of the big Indian outsourcing companies that may need Spanish-speaking operators for the 38 million Hispanics living in the U.S.

POLITICAL HELP. Nicaragua may have a real chance. Ben Schneider, president of Consulting Outsourcing Management in Lima, Peru, says countries that have a free trade agreement with the U.S., such as Mexico and Chile, and more recently, the countries that signed the Central American Free Trade Agreement, including Nicaragua, will have an advantage when seeking outsourcing clients.

"It's not just a matter of tariffs, but of policies on intellectual property protection and labor rules," he says. "American companies that want to sign an outsourcing contract prefer to sign it with companies whose countries have a free trade agreement with the U.S."

Latin American outsourcing still pales in comparison to India. But Schneider says the balance could shift. International companies, he says, can't afford to do all their outsourcing in India. "There's a big time difference with the U.S., it's closer to the trouble spots in the Middle East, and India is a nuclear power."

BUILDING UP. Mexico, Brazil and Chile are the main countries to watch for offshoring in Latin America -- the first two because they have the critical mass, big company clients, and enough students graduating, and Chile because it's savvy as far as globalization goes and has been working hard on bilingual education. The rest of the region's countries, he says, occupy small niches -- for now.

That could change, though, if some of India's bigger players strategically choose to forge alliances with some of those niche operators to target U.S. and European markets.

Copyright © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. All rights reserved.



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (3757)1/28/2006 3:23:55 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 219446
 
if Lula wins re-election in October, tax rates will come down, interest rates will continue to fall and there will be a public/private push to invest in a substantial increase in Brazil’s energy, steel and paper sectors. There will be increased financing for construction and housing and inflation will stay under control. She readily accepts what the World Bank has said of Brazil —“there is increasing evidence that inequality adversely affects growth, undermines, social cohesion and increases crime.” So Lula will continue to expand his income transfer programme and will focus his energy on reforming the country’s moribund and inefficient education system.

ELMAT: This is looking too good to be true!

Brazil is the big power in the making

BY JONATHAN POWER

28 January 2006

IT WAS Charles de Gaulle who once said, ”Brazil has a great future. But it always will have.” Yet times are changing in Brazil and it is no longer inconceivable that Brazil will emerge in the next few decades alongside India and China as one of the world’s economic superpowers.

As Dilma Roussef, chief of staff to President Luis Ignácio da Silva, “Lula”, put it to me with only a touch of hyperbole, “It’s more difficult to make this economy not grow than to make it grow.”

Can Brazil move itself from Third World to First World? Can Brazil, the world’s most successful country in terms of growth in the twentieth century, repeat this achievement in the twenty-first? Many, viewing the dismal inflation-consumed performance of the 1980s and early 1990s, with a currency adding zeros faster than the printing presses could turn, believed Brazil could never make it, especially with a former sociology professor, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, becoming president followed by a leftist populist, the present president, Lula. But indeed it is happening.

Cardoso practised fiscal prudence, stabilised the currency, and initiated the first real reforms of Brazil’s bloated bureaucracy and feudal inefficiencies. Lula, to everyone’s surprise —a mere six months before his election he was calling for Brazil to renege on its debts —continued the process.

Brazil under Lula has recently repaid its debts to the International Monetary Fund and the Paris Club well ahead of schedule. It is running a fast growing surplus on its trade account, its exports are booming, growing at a faster rate than China’s- in a range of products from soya to aircraft from mining to computers. Its economy is growing steadily at around 3 to 3.5 per cent. This is happening in a country that is the world’s fifth largest both in population and size. It is highly industrialized country with over 80 per cent of its people urbanised. The city of São Paulo’s economy is larger than the whole of Argentina’s.

Moreover, Brazil is home to the world’s largest tropical forest and Brazil has the world’s largest reservoirs of freshwater and ample hyrdo electric power. It is self-sufficient in oil and gas.

Brazil has a headstart on India and China. It has been developing in its sometime madcap way for over 100 years. Between 1960 and 1980 Brazil doubled its per capita income, an achievement that was only surpassed by the later growth spurts of the East Asian countries. Its income per head is almost $8000 (in purchasing power parity). This compares with China’s $4,500 and India’s $3000. If this doesn’t give Brazil’s economy with its 170 million people almost quite the clout as India’s and China’s with their billion people each, it certainly gives it a base to stand eye to eye with them in say 50 years’ time, when their growth rates will inevitably have long slowed and Brazil’s should have cruised for two generations at a comfortable 5 per cent. At the very least Brazil will outgrow Canada, pace Russia and leave Mexico way behind.

Ms Roussef says if Lula wins re-election in October, tax rates will come down, interest rates will continue to fall and there will be a public/private push to invest in a substantial increase in Brazil’s energy, steel and paper sectors. There will be increased financing for construction and housing and inflation will stay under control. She readily accepts what the World Bank has said of Brazil —“there is increasing evidence that inequality adversely affects growth, undermines, social cohesion and increases crime.” So Lula will continue to expand his income transfer programme and will focus his energy on reforming the country’s moribund and inefficient education system. His principal rival for the presidency, José Serra, the mayor of São Paulo, will trump all this, or so he says, partly because he, as a well known fiscal conservative throughout his long political career, will have more credibility with the financial markets and thus can afford to significantly increase the growth rate and partly, less beholden to the indulgence of the US than Lula has been forced to be as a one time Marxist-consorting leftist, he can up the ante on trade negotiations, confronting Washington to open up its protected markets.

Brazil has a good chance of emerging as the world’s first economic superpower without nuclear weapons —on which there is a consensus in all political corners. It hasn’t been to war for 135 years. It is the most tolerant of countries, one that never had Jim Crow laws and which abolished capital punishment in 1885. If Brazil succeeds it can only make the world a better place.

Jonathan Power is an eminent foreign affairs commentator. He can be reached at JonatPower@aol.com