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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GraceZ who wrote (51478)	1/25/2006 11:33:04 PM
From: bond_bubble	Respond to of 110194

Thanks Grace. My economic opinion: Wrenching deflation is going to set in the economy. Lot of defaults, business shutdowns, RE crashes, high interest rates during the defaults - and lower interest rates when the dust settles. This could be happening over 2-3 years, may be starting in a year. Good luck on your investments and future RE endeavors.

To: GraceZ who wrote (51478)	1/25/2006 11:49:02 PM
From: shades	Respond to of 110194

Right Grace - why everyone getting so worked up - I bet a lot of people just bored and this fun for them to take team a or team b side - give them entertainment - see it all getting better - never fear - even if peak oil here: El mat gonna be jumping for joy - if he dont get nuked in iran first - hehe. science.slashdot.org Is Ethanol the Answer to the Energy Dilemma? Posted by samzenpus on Wednesday January 25, @08:43PM from the I-love-the-smell-of-alternative-fuel-in-the-morning dept. n0xin writes "According to Fortune, "The next five years could see ethanol go from a mere sliver of the fuel pie to a major energy solution in a world where the cost of relying on a finite supply of oil is way too high." In an effort to meet fuel-economy standards, automakers already have 5 million ethanol-ready vehicles on the road. Supporters are optomistic that "we can introduce enough ethanol in the U.S. to replace the majority of our petroleum use in cars and light trucks." Are SUVs included in this category?"

To: GraceZ who wrote (51478)	1/26/2006 2:29:14 PM
From: anachronist	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

So it seems like you positive mood is predicated on recent stock performance, personal business observations, and moves you have made to reduce personal debt and exposure to the real estate markets. You yourself have stated that the willingness to take on debt is directly correlated to expectations of one's ability to service that debt. Other internal contradictions in your response: - You indicated that corporate customers are reducing expenditures, but then question if we will enter recession. Macroeconomics 101. - You expect a decline in real estate prices but do not expect that to effect the overall economy. However, real estate jobs have been an oversized percentage of job growth since the recession. - You indicate that the stock market is a good predictor of the macroeconomic environment, but there is no direct correlation.