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Strategies & Market Trends : YEEHAW CANDIDATES -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Galirayo who wrote (14906)2/6/2006 2:56:21 PM
From: Galirayo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23958
 
[AMLN] Now one From Forbes ..

Market Scan
Amylin's Competitor Concerns For Byetta Seen Unwarranted
Peter Kang, 02.06.06, 12:54 PM ET

Amylin Pharmaceuticals
Piper Jaffray said recent investor concerns regarding potential rivals to Amylin Pharmaceuticals' diabetes treatment Byetta were overblown and maintained an "outperform" rating on the specialty pharmaceutical firm.

Investors have expressed concerns over the potential competitive pressure on Byetta sales from Exubera by Pfizer (nyse: PFE - news - people ), Acomplia by Sanofi-Aventis (nyse: SNY - news - people ) as well as a new class of DPP-IV inhibitors from the likes of Novartis (nyse: NVS - news - people ) and others, according to pharmaceutical analyst Thomas Wei.

"Our hypothesis has been that the growth and size of the diabetes market will absorb multiple new entrants, both new drugs and new classes," the analyst wrote in a client note issued today.

"We continue to believe that investors have underappreciated the sheer size and unmet need among patients failing Type 2 oral therapies."

Wei noted that new drug introductions generally add to the growth in the diabetes market, citing three historical examples including Byetta's impact on Sanofi-Aventis' Lantus in June 2005.

"In none of the three cases was there a decline in prescriptions of the incumbent drug and we would also argue that the incumbent growth trajectory was also unaffected," he said.

The Piper Jaffray analyst maintained a price target of $50 on Amylin (nasdaq: AMLN - news - people ), saying the stock remains one of its top mid-cap picks in the sector.

"We remain skeptical of the competition argument raised by the Amylin bears and continue to believe in the long-term potential of the Byetta franchise," Wei said.

Byetta is co-marketed by Eli Lilly (nyse: LLY - news - people ).


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