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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ild who wrote (45570)	1/31/2006 3:56:36 PM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

Odds of March Fed rate hike move higher Tuesday, January 31, 2006 8:07:52 PM afxpress.com WASHINGTON (AFX) -- The odds that the Federal Reserve will raise overnight interest rates on March 28 moved slightly higher Tuesday after the Fed raised the federal funds rate to 4.50% and suggested more rate hikes "may" be needed. Prices of federal funds contracts trading on the Chicago Board of Trade implied an 84% chance of a March rate hike to 4.75%, up from a 76% chance before the meeting. The odds of a second rate hike to 5% sometime in the year rose from 24% to 28% in the wake of the meeting

To: ild who wrote (45570)	1/31/2006 4:06:34 PM
From: regli	Respond to of 116555

"...A growing influence in the next era will be the rapid move – almost a stampede – to greater diversification via non-traditional and more marginal asset classes..." "...This tidal wave of diversification is having, and will continue to have, a powerful effect on the pricing of these newer, smaller asset classes – it is pushing them up. It will be very easy to underestimate this pressure in the next few years, and consequently, it will be easy to sell out of forestry, emerging equities, and the rest far too soon in terms of relative performance..." I'll take his hints. <g>