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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Patrick Slevin who wrote (7305)	2/13/2006 10:11:07 AM
From: Jon Koplik	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33421

CPI rose 9.2% ANNUALLY from 1975 to 1981 (according to Robert J. Samuelson's piece in Newsweek) (8/8/05, page 39) (which I tore out, and saved). These people now talking about inflation, inflation, inflation (in 2006) are MORONS. Jon.

To: Patrick Slevin who wrote (7305)	2/13/2006 4:27:02 PM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33421

HI Patrick, Couple of big differences. Carter's cheap money was bottoming at 7.0% if I recall. Bushes cheap money bottomed at 1.0%. So there is a pretty good spread between the 2 scenarios. Keep in mind that globalization has taken the wind out of wage growth inflation. Back in Carters era unions had COLA adjustment and demand income to keep up with inflation which ran 5-10% per year. YoverY wage growth this month 3.3. Expectations of inflation is the hardest component to eliminate and it is nonexistent. All adds up to a quicker peak. I hope. Bob