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Non-Tech : The Woodshed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Louis V. Lambrecht who wrote (37704)2/17/2006 7:21:40 AM
From: Sittin_on_my_yaya  Respond to of 60929
 
movermike.com

The Honeymoon is Over! - Mover Mike

I think we've just seen the top on the dollar!

If you look at this chart of the daily trading ( tinyurl.com ),
courtesy of StockChart, you'll notice that the USD dropped below its 200dma
(the red line) in January and then rallied to 91. In my experience this
feint below the 200dma is the first indication of a sustained drop below the
200dma. Secondly, the MACD has started to roll over and third, we have
rallied into resistance in the 91 area.

Looking at the weekly chart ( tinyurl.com ), we appear to have
formed a head and shoulder top and the right shoulder looks weak. Breaking
the neckline at about 88 would give a target of about 83. In addition, there
is divergence in RSI at the peaks. RSI failed to make a new high when the
USD peaked above 92.5.

I would say Ben Bernanke's honeymoon is over!