To: i-node who wrote (2262 ) 2/18/2006 10:04:28 PM From: pcstel Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3386 To try to base your argument on what CPGA was a couple years ago is a bit disingenuous. ???? Ehh?? Come again?? My argument was based on what CPGA was a couple years ago, when a hypothetical subscriber leased a hypothetical car a couple of years ago. My "argument" was a valid argument using figures from a couple of years ago for a hypothetical transaction that would have occurred a couple of years ago. If I base it on current CPGA figures, it still isn't that far off. So I fail to see how you find it "disingenuous"? But when the CPGA gets to a sub-$90 level (where XM's has been and where it is likely to return in Q1) Ahh! Now you are the one being "disingenuous" here. Now you are claiming that this is no longer the case based on WHAT YOUR PROJECTIONS ARE FOR NEXT QUARTER. And as we have seen in the past.. You projections have turned out to be just that... Simply Projections... Few of which have actually come to pass. Like those 50-70% Gross Margins by the end of 2003!! Nobody has suggested these companies won't suffer huge losses during the first several years, and they, of course, they have Weren't you the one claiming UFCF by the end of 2004, then mid 2005, end of 2005?? I was the one that kept warning you that, "unlike your fairy tale rule breaker theory".. That this subscriber model was just like every other, worse actually. I have called it a popcisle stand. If one looks closely, XM's variable unit costs have dropped nicely over the last two years, as well, bringing the contribution margin within reach of management's original estimates. ROTFLMAO!! YAWNNNNN!! Yeah, Sure, Whatever you want to say. All I know is what it says here. "XM Satellite Radio Holdings Posts Wider Fourth-Quarter Loss; Director Quits, Warning of 'Crisis'" XM, the larger of the country's two satellite radio operators, lost $270.4 million, or $1.22 per share, after dividends for preferred stockholders, in the October-December period. In the same period a year earlier, the loss was $190.4 million, or 93 cents per share. Those the same Management's original estimates that said they would be CFBE in early 2005? Now late 2006? Your entire thesis has been "CPGA too high, ARPU too low, LOL! Oh! It's not a thesis... IT'S A FACT. You projected CFBE in 2004. I projected continued larger and larger losses well past that, i.e. your popsicle stand. But, if you say the variable unit costs have dropped nicely over the last couple of years. Who am I to argue with you, given your track record so far? "Of particular concern to investors was the unexpected departure of Pierce J. Roberts Jr. from XM's board of directors, who said in his resignation letter that he was "troubled" by the company's current path. Roberts, the former chief telecom banker at Bear Stearns, had served on the board's audit, compensation and nominating committees. He had been a director for five years. "Given current course and speed there is, in my view, a significant chance of a crisis on the horizon," Roberts wrote in the letter, which the company disclosed in a regulatory filing. "Even absent a crisis, I believe that XM will inevitably serve its shareholders poorly without major changes now."" Like I said.. The Bean Counters are now back to counting beans. Mr Roberts, a bean counter by profession, doesn't think the beans are adding up! Others appear to be following his viewpoint. Maybe you can call him and explain how the variable unit costs have dropped nicely over the last several years? He obviously missed that somewhere! And so it goes