To: Bill who wrote (728220 ) 2/27/2006 9:05:07 PM From: DuckTapeSunroof Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670 Putting a bet down on McCain Monday, Feb 27, 2006 By John Brummett News reports say the event was made into a major command performance, a requisite presidential beauty contest, when John McCain decided to attend. It may be that the Republican presidential race for 2008 is not as wide open as everyone has been saying. It might be McCain's to lose, for three reasons: 1. He has the lone star quality in a field otherwise without glitter, excepting Rudy Giuliani, who is entirely too liberal to win. 2. McCain's own conservative credentials are looking better. The New Republic had an essay a couple of weeks ago explaining that the Republican presidential candidate most consistently supportive of the neo-conservative Bush foreign policy - in Iraq, toward Iran and on the general idea that America should impose its will unilaterally if necessary - is McCain. The Arizona senator said all the good conservative things and cast both good conservative votes on the right-wing's recent and vital cultural agenda, which was to get John Roberts and Samuel Alito on the U. S. Supreme Court. 3. The most compelling Republican cause for 2008, the one that transcends all others, is to keep Hillary Clinton from becoming president. No one scares Republicans quite like Hillary scares them. All but the most zealously impractical right-wingers will choose to make a few strategic and tactical concessions to McCain's occasional bipartisan and moderate instincts - on campaign finance reform and a patient's bill of rights and immigration, and in his chumminess with the likes of John Kerry - to nominate the presidential candidate clearly most able to lure centrist and independent voters in the fall and keep Mrs. Clinton out of the White House. While McCain's nomination may remain iffy, his election should he get the nomination is about as good a political bet as one could lay down. Hillary might carry her former state of Arkansas against Bill Frist, George Allen or even Huckabee, if we can believe a recent poll. But I wouldn't give her a snowball's chances among independent-minded rural white voters against McCain. I can hardly imagine a candidacy more appealing than McCain's to the cursed independent-mindedness of Arkansas voters. The two chief concerns about McCain - that he is hot-headed and that he'd be 72 in 2008 - present a certain mitigating dynamic. They say the famously temperamental McCain appears to be mellowing. It's a simple fact of life's journey, a chemical and physical reality, that a man likely to grab your collar and back you against the wall when he's 60 might not be so inclined, or still as able, when he's 70. As for the narrower concerns about McCain's advanced age, he can always invoke the man he claims as a hero, Ronald Reagan. And there's the matter of his mother, Roberta, still spunky at 93, according to the most recent press reference to her I could find, which was earlier this month. In 2000, at age 88, she drove herself alone cross-country, successfully - and safely, to herself and other motorists. It's an interesting prospect - McCain as president. You wonder if he'd still go on Letterman and crack wise. You wonder if maybe he's not the great bipartisan and moderate hope for a country otherwise without potent bipartisanship or moderation. You wonder if Hillary Clinton isn't the best thing ever to happen to him politically. Find this article at:arkansasnews.com