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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: John Vosilla who wrote (49395)	3/3/2006 1:48:38 PM
From: KyrosL	Respond to of 306849

Yes, Florida is slowing dramatically. I can't see how boomers increase housing demand. It seems the opposite will be true. As they retire, demand for housing will go down as they switch to retirement housing. Second homes make no sense, at current prices.

To: John Vosilla who wrote (49395)	3/3/2006 1:55:10 PM
From: gpowell	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 306849

I don't think you comprehended my post(s). The baby boom demographic bubble justifies the price appreciation up to about 2005, but as the boomers retire and die, we should see housing decline (in relative terms) and long rates rise. While, timing is always difficult to predict, and one cannot predict whether other factors might compensate, we could be at the start of a 20-year bear market in housing due entirely to demographic shifts.