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To: Shack who wrote (130374)	3/7/2006 12:17:50 PM
From: robert b furman	Respond to of 209892

Hi Shack, I'm not trained in global money flows,but it seems this yield runup has been spurred by other countries rising rates.That seems counter intuitive to my simple thinking.LOL It seems as though the carry trade is trying to be defended here by rising US rates in concert with other countries. That might work initially,but I think it will be a failed trade if and as other countries rates escalate over a longer time duration. Bob

To: Shack who wrote (130374)	3/7/2006 12:26:38 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 209892

<<As for the TNX chart, all looks like massive jell-o to me since the lows a few years back...>> Funny, Shack, I just posted that people should have been reading our thread on interest rates......Also should have been looking at our charts...gg....like this one posted by somebody waaayy back in October. I'll be updating that chart....and filling in...as we go along..but in a nut-shell.....(so that you won't be left guessing) TNX heading for something ABOVE FedFunds....and FedFunds headed for at least 5% (next hike btw on Mar 28). home.twcny.rr.com