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To: Graystone who wrote (7816)3/9/2006 1:52:34 AM
From: E. Charters  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78410
 
It is a 2/3's chance on your first pick that the door will reveal a goat. So, once you know another door, behind which is a goat, if you then switch doors, it's always 2/3's chance that a Cadillac will be behind the door you switch to. (you only get one chance out of 3 to pick a goat, change and lose, whilst there are two chances to pick a goat, change and win!

Defies logic at first, but amazingly yields to a simple test.

You have been sticking with goats all these years. Change to Cadillacs.

EC<:-}