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To: the-phoenix who wrote (130598)3/12/2006 10:00:21 AM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
worried that what we may have seen the last two days in $SPX was a complete ABC zigzag correction and we could head down hard this week

Yes. And yet, Friday's action set up a possibility that the second impulse up (of the zigzag) may have had a wiggle Flat correction, and may be heading up... which would imply a(n almost) non-wiggle advance. Tomorrow will be interesting in this sense.



To: the-phoenix who wrote (130598)3/12/2006 10:02:25 AM
From: the-phoenix  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
Here's a little Bull Fodder

As I've posted a few times before, I trade off of extremes in the NDX/SPX ratio. At Friday's close, this ratio was at its lowest level since last September - 1.289. Here are the results from the previous conditions where this ratio reached this level:

9/28 1.289 - NDX up 48 points in next three days
10/12 1.293 - NDX up 60 points in next ten days
2/22 1.289 - NDX up 46 points in next three days
3/10 1.289 - NDX ?

While this ratio went lower than this prior to last Fall and has been trending down since the extreme high at the January top in the NDX, I believe the odds favor a bounce in tech here, and relative strength versus non-tech for at least a few days.



To: the-phoenix who wrote (130598)3/12/2006 12:23:00 PM
From: Shack  Respond to of 209892
 
If it goes, I switch sides immediately.

So would I, near-term anyways.