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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (733160)3/20/2006 2:07:35 PM
From: pompsander  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
But Bush isn't running again. Whomever the Republicans eventually nominate (and I expect the nomination battle to be quite long and quite ugly), that person will not have the same across the board conservative/republican support that GWB had in 2000. Much of American was ready for a change after eight years of Clinton and Mr. Bush was presented as a reasonable choice. His lack of experience in international affiars was offset by Mr. Cheney. His lack of broad experience in government was offset by the strength of his kitchen cabinet advisors. He, personally, seemed like a nice man who had come through some hard times in his personal life to improve himself and achieve great things. He was easy to rally around, as the republicans had no executive branch record to defend. He was the "outsider" who would return integrity to the Oval Office and bring about smaller government, compassionate conservatism, avoid foreign entanglements, etc. What's not to like? Sure, he couldn't name all the world leaders but he had greybeards around him to guide him. And it was time for a change from Clinton. Nevertheless, it was a very close thing with Gore.

Now whomever the Republicans nominate...will that person be able to hold together the fiscal conservatives (pleased with tax cuts but so disappointed about spending), the neocons (with Iraq unlikely to be a platform anyone wants to run on), the evangelicals (who do see Bush as one of their own...but will they vote for someone else who is not as sure of his or her religious beliefs as GWB? McCain? Allen? Rudy? Newt?).

And finally there is the change element. Just as Bush had the advantage of running against eight years of Clinton, the demos get to run against eight years of Bush and fourteen years of Republican stewardship of Congress. The dems will interweave the two, playing with soundbites like "mission accomplished" (I know, never said) and "last throes". The economy could be either better or worse by then, but if there is a housing bubble and middle American is impacted, that won't help.

Finally, the republican candidate needs to decide if he will run as a Reagan Republican or a Bush Republicann. So far, no one wants to be a Bush Republican except McCain (sort of)...and you can bet the demos will pound and pound on the Bush legacy. If Iraq does not get better that could be tough for the Repub candidate to overcome. "Time for a Change" after eight years often can pull 2 to 3 percent of the voters all by itself.



To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (733160)3/20/2006 4:03:28 PM
From: puborectalis  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 769670
 
deep family values.........like what?
what makes your morality better than the next guy?