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Gold/Mining/Energy : Copper - analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stephen O who wrote (1411)3/29/2006 3:14:09 PM
From: Stephen O  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2131
 
Copper Prices Rise to Records in London, N.Y., Erasing Losses
2006-03-29 11:53 (New York)

By Chanyaporn Chanjaroen
March 29 (Bloomberg) -- Copper futures rose to records in
London and New York, erasing earlier losses, on speculation that
rising demand for the metal from both consumers and investment
funds will create a production shortfall.
Copper demand will rise 6.7 percent and outpace supply by
193,000 metric tons this year, extending the shortfall into next
year, Bloomsbury Minerals Economics said yesterday in a report.
``It's a very strong market,'' Marc Morgan, a futures
trader at Triland USA Inc., said today in a phone interview.
``People rather stay long than short.''
Copper for delivery in three months rose as much as $40, or
0.8 percent, to $5,355 a metric ton ($2.429 a pound) at 5:28
p.m. local time on the London Metal Exchange. That beat the
record set yesterday by $20. The metal has tripled in the past
three years. Earlier today, copper posted a 1 percent loss,
trading at $5,258.50 a ton.
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange,
copper futures for May delivery gained as much as 2.05 cents, or
0.8 percent, to $2.449 a pound, beating yesterday's record by
1.2 cents. The contract traded at $2.446 at 11:41 a.m. local
time. A futures contract is an obligation to buy or sell a
commodity at a fixed price for delivery by a specific date.
``We are living in the midst of the biggest base-metals
bull market in the past 50 years, both in terms of its rise and
its terms of duration,'' Jon Bergtheil, head of global metals
strategy at JP Morgan Securities Ltd. in London, said today in a
report.

Rise in Inventory

Inventory of copper monitored by the LME rose for the first
day in two weeks. Stockpiles gained 450 tons, or 0.4 percent, to
121,375 tons. Still, that is less than three days of global
consumption.
Record prices have prompted mining companies such as
Canada's First Quantum Minerals Ltd. to restart or expand
production.
Papua New Guinea has appointed a World Bank adviser to
review a mining ban on Bougainville Island, which contains what
was once the world's largest copper mine. The review team will
have a year to complete its study and advise the government,
Nason Moat, press secretary to the nation's mining minister, Sam
Akoitai, said today.
Among other metals for delivery in three months on the LME,
aluminum fell $25, or 1 percent, to $2,518 a ton. Before today,
aluminum had gained 31 percent in the past year.
OAO Sual Group, Russia's second-largest aluminum producer,
said it plans to spend about $1.5 billion in the next five years
on plant upgrades and increasing production.

--With reporting by Samantha Shields in Moscow and Tan Hwee Ann
in Melbourne. Editor: Casey (pjm/dje)