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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cravey who wrote (191517)3/31/2006 7:56:05 PM
From: niceguy767Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
On a similar note,

Q3 OP was $209M on CPU rev's of $969M = 21.6%
Q4 OP was $289M on CPU rev's of $1307M = 22.1%

What Mosemann misses, for whatever reason (cocaine or stardust) is that OP% actually increased in Q4 despite the additional combined R&D and Mktg costs of $120M.

Let's assume $1.45B in Q1 rev's as suggested by Mosemann (he must've had a bad dream to come up with this 'cause he's probably close)

Q1 OP @ 22%*1450M = $320M
add Mktg Q1 reduction of $40M
minus Fab 36 dep'n of $40M
Revised Q1 OP = $320M

Deduct Interst Costs of $25M and Bonus of $55M

Q1 Net profit = $240M or approx. $0.50 per share! (= Mosemann's 2006 estimate) ;-)



To: Cravey who wrote (191517)3/31/2006 9:58:53 PM
From: AK2004Respond to of 275872
 
there is no going back for him at this point. After putting strong sell on amd for so long it would be end of as an analyst if he would change his story. It might be end for him anyway if AMD would beat expectations.

-AK