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To: venividivici who wrote (131561)4/2/2006 4:05:36 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo  Respond to of 209892
 
Hi, Julius (hope you won't mind..gg)

Gotta run again, so will look at again......hopefully later today.....

From the arithmetic, I assume that you're taking the past October low as the start of the 5 ........right???

Personally, not sure I'd put the 5 that high.....Starting from the Aug '04 low, 5=1 points to 1893 (not far from my TA target 1880)..........Starting from Apr '05 gets me to 2026.

Assume when you say your wave count "would not preclude going below the Mar 10th low"....that also based on your taking last Oct as start of of 5 ...up from the 2002 low...??

Here's my Feb TA take pointing to 1880.

home.twcny.rr.com



To: venividivici who wrote (131561)4/2/2006 4:15:47 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo  Respond to of 209892
 
PS...Sorry....Meant to also enclose FYI this old QQQQ chart of mine...

See you later...

home.twcny.rr.com



To: venividivici who wrote (131561)4/2/2006 10:02:06 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Reviewing your post, VVV...I'm inclined to put the beginning of wave 5 up from the 2002 low at the August 2004 lows of the SPX, COMPX, NDX, and QQQQ...and at the October 2004 low of the INDU.

Assuming, as you suggest, that wave 5 would equal the wave 1 up (October-December 2002), wave 5 would see percentage increases, and reach levels, as follows:

INDU..........25.646%....................up to.....12,621.09........(TA 11,611)
SPX............24.154%....................................1,316.93..........(1.347.96)
COMPX......25.495%....................................2,197.19...........(2.433.63)
NDX..........45.323%....................................1,892.00............(1,880)
QQQQ.......45.698%........................................47.13.............(45.98)

I show on the right, above, the targets I had previously projected based on my TA voodoo.....which were lower for INDU, NDX, and QQQQ......and higher for SPX and COMPX...(which, in these last 2 cases would indicate what is not unusual..5 greater than 1).

Should note foregoing would involve very different count from what I have heretofore proposed in my ED scenario for the SPX...(Not entirely clear, and want to think on it, but will probably have to abandon my ED scenario.....which would not necessarily mean abandonment of a major top scenario for later in 2006 or in 2007).....

Will be posting some charts on the above....maybe manana.....