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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (51344)4/4/2006 11:40:44 AM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 306849
 
>>>Notice from this chart since the bull market in long term interest rates began in 1982<<<

I would trace the rise in LT rates back to the early '60s. What happened then??? Viet Nam. As I pointed out in a previous post, the last time the federal operatonal budget was balanced was 1957. Kennedy - Johnson - then Nixon, all printed money to finance Viet Nam.

Certainly the monster spike started in the '81 period. Wasn't that when Volcker was crushing inflation out of the picture?? I think the government printed a lot of money in '86 on the S&L crisis.

It looks to me like ten year rates have bottomed, and will begin trending upward. The parallels between Viet Nam and the Middle East today are rather strong.