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To: bentway who wrote (51452)4/5/2006 1:54:53 PM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
>>>The war has further destabilized the region and adds at least $10-20 to the price of every barrel of oil.<<<

Maybe yes, maybe no. Certainly Saddam back in 1980-1991 was about as unstable as you can get, first invading Iran, and then Kuwait. I would argue that as long as the US is there, that in the large things are more stable. In the small (street fighting) i expect that things are more unstable. The problem remains - how long can or are we willing to stay there to keep stability in the large.

I heard an Iran (of Iranian descent I believe) expert the other day state that the thing iran fears most is the US leaving Iraq. The thing they fear second is the US establishing democracy there.

I was in favor of the war initially. But I also expected that the US would be welcomed with open arms, and hat the price tag would be $70 billion. Clearly we were better off in the previous status quo - maintaining the no-fly zones and otherwise harassing Saddam for the miniscule cost of $2 billion/annum. We don't have the option of turning back the clock.