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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GPS Info who wrote (184793)4/7/2006 9:44:24 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Respond to of 281500
 
Do you see a workable scenario whereby the US carves out a section of Iraq for the Shias that goes as far north as An Najaf, and maybe as far as Karbala (or just south of) – and another section for the Kurds that minimally includes Kirkut and maybe down to Tuz?

Not particularly.. Many Sunni and Shia areas, especially in Baghdad, are closely located, if not integrated, with one another. Additionally, Sunni tribes are located south and SE of Baghdad, and north up to Tikrit and Mosul. Thus, it's really not a matter of carving off the Sunni Triangle, since the largest proportion of Iraqis live in Baghdad.

Additionally, since the SE part of Iraq holds 80% of the oil, the Sunnis would just stand pat and accept this permanent disposession of what they believe is every bit as much their birthright as the Shia.

Finally, I'm not much for carving up Iraq on any scale. This does not promote compromise, but merely long-lasting antipathy and sectarianism. And that plays into the hands of those who believe that a divided Iraq will be far easier to dominate (meaning Iran).

Sectarian violence is likely to be with the Iraqis for some years to come. But I believe that, so long as elected officials are pressured to compromise between the various factions and interests, the greater proportion of Iraqis will eventually cease supporting the insurgency.

But I understand your perspective.. Believe me.. a lot of over there often contemplated the same thing...

Hawk