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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Shack who wrote (131803)	4/11/2006 3:18:16 PM
From: The Freep	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 209892

Shack -- do you find the current market action bullish? Sleepy? I'm not sure I agree with that.

To: Shack who wrote (131803)	4/11/2006 6:43:08 PM
From: skinowski	Respond to of 209892

I would beware of that seasonality myth It's pretty much a proven thing. I think it was Jules Hirsh (?sp) and then later Sy Harding who examined this phenomenon going back for many decades, and it is quite consistent. Staying invested from October till early May outperformed buy and hold by far. Harding fine tuned the timing of entries and exits by using the MACD. In 2003 you would miss about 100 SPX points - out of a total of about 230, which is a lot. But then, it is not every year that the index rallies the way it did in 2003. Another thing about which, I suspect, we may hear a lot in the coming months is the 4 year "Presidential" cycle, which was quite consistent for the past ~100 years. 1998 and 2002 are recent examples of lows.