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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E_K_S who wrote (23742)4/13/2006 2:30:14 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78729
 
Possible that defaults occur but possibly not because of the deal structure. I presume each deal is somewhat structured to account for rate rises. OTOH, the customers of a company might have to reduces their dealings with the company esp. if interest rates bite enough to cause a recession.
This in turn could cause the company to default on its BDC loan due to lack of cash flow. Or the company could drop in value. (Thus hurting the BDC, e.g. if there were stock or warrants invoved in the particular loan.)

Back otoh: Because bank rates to borrowers increase and become more difficult for smaller companies to obtain, I expect that more small companies will turn to these BDCs for the BDCs relatively more attractive financing, so demand for the deals that the BDCs do, might increase.

ALD has a long history: It's survived interest rate swings. I hope it and other BDCs can do so again.



To: E_K_S who wrote (23742)4/13/2006 8:31:47 PM
From: Carl Worth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78729
 
i don't think it's as likely that defaults would start to be a problem due to interest rates, since the loans are already in place, and are largely fixed rate debt...as such, the companies qualified for those loans at a known cost, to both the borrower and the lender, unlike an adjustable mortgage or the like

i'd be more concerned about these companies if and when the economy slows down

CSE in particular makes fairly short term loans, as you can see by the maturities in their recent collateralization

biz.yahoo.com

as such, they should be fairly well insulated from defaults, since it would seem unlikely that a significant number of their customers would have their respective businesses turn down substantially in that short a time