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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (58202)4/13/2006 10:45:01 PM
From: CalculatedRisk  Respond to of 110194
 
Fed Watch: Policy in Transition
economistsview.typepad.com

From Dr. Tim Duy.

Excerpt:

"... recent data reveals that the economy enjoys enough momentum to justify another rate hike in May. That is something of a given at this point; the real question is the June meeting. I continue to feel that the Fed would like to take a pass at that meeting on the expectation of slowing economic growth, but make it clear that the odds of tightening beyond that remain about 50%. The question is whether the data will continue to support such a move, especially since policymakers would likely risk somewhat higher interest rates now to avoid even more aggressive hikes later. Particularly important is the relative impact of possible higher commodity prices versus expectations of slowing demand growth.

Another possible path comes to mind. As the play on housing becomes less stimulative, will market participants find yet another asset play to maintain household wealth? ..."



To: russwinter who wrote (58202)4/14/2006 10:15:21 AM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
When the US economy plunges into the toilet it won't be because of housing prices or money supply -- it will be because we stopped doing anything worthwhile to address the critical issues we face on planet earth and to create real value while solving the problems associated with our activities:

biz.yahoo.com



To: russwinter who wrote (58202)4/14/2006 10:44:29 AM
From: rayok  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Is starving to death, better than to working to death?

How many would have died without the work?

"Dead workers in the workplace, China "wins" again"