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To: Eric L who wrote (3872)4/16/2006 8:08:41 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 9255
 
Lucent, Alcatel Merger to Trigger Consolidation
By Melanie Reynolds -- Electronics Weekly, 4/12/2006

The merger of Alcatel and Lucent Technologies marks the start of real consolidation in the telecoms industry and will push other companies to move forward with merger and acquisition plans, according to industry analysts.

“It most importantly triggers the rationalization process, long awaited in this industry, whereby the other large diversified equipment vendors will need to either specialize or reach critical mass that now stands above the $20 billion [infrastructure] revenue mark in order to survive,” said Julien Salanave, head of telecom equipment practice at analyst IDATE.

According to Salanave, vendors with revenues above $20 billion, such as Cisco Systems and Ericsson, should be fine. However, he proposes the most likely future consolidation scenarios as: a merger of Siemens and Nortel; Siemens/Nokia; Nortel/Motorola; or Huawei acquiring a North American firm, such as Nortel or Motorola’s infrastructure division.

Yankee Group agrees the merger will drive other companies to accelerate plans in the next six months. Nick Maynard, senior analyst of service telecoms strategies at Yankee, believes it will also drive companies to “acquire smaller vendors to fill in any geographic or product gaps to counteract the competitive advantages the new combined entity may create.”

One of the effects driving consolidation is the selection criteria now being applied by operators to their suppliers, as witnessed by BT’s selection method for its next-generation network (NGN).

“Carriers need vendors that can provide comprehensive, integrated solutions spanning fixed and mobile infrastructure systems and professional services,” said Maynard.

Both Alcatel and Lucent are already signed as approved suppliers for BT’s NGN and the combined Alcatel/Lucent will be “the leading fixed NGN supplier in both North America and Europe and would create increased scale and product development efficiencies,” according to Maynard.

Electronics Weekly is the London-based sister publication of Electronic News.



To: Eric L who wrote (3872)4/16/2006 8:09:25 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 9255
 
Motorola eyes Siemens' telecoms unit
Reuters
Saturday, April 15, 2006; 11:00 AM

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Motorola Inc. <MOT.N> is interested in Siemens' <SIEGn.DE> loss-making telecoms unit Com, the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung reported.

In an advance copy of its Sunday edition, the paper said one option in the talks between Siemens and Motorola was the complete takeover of Siemens Com -- its biggest unit -- that had sales of 13 billion euros ($16 billion) and 55,000 employees

A Siemens' spokesman declined to comment.

The paper also said Motorola had repeatedly shown interest in acquiring the profitable mobile network division, but Siemens' Chief Executive Klaus Kleinfeld wanted to sell the whole unit, including loss-making divisions.

Mobile networks is the most successful part of Siemens Com, which also makes equipment for fixed-line telecoms companies. Com's operating profit fell 13 percent to 323 million euros in the fiscal first quarter to end-December.

Without the sale of a stake in U.S. networks equipment maker Juniper <JNPR.O>, Com would have made a loss of 43 million euros in the quarter. Its sales rose 10 percent to 3.42 billion euros in the period.

The paper said Siemens' supervisory board could discuss the future of the Com unit at its meeting on April 24.

In February, Germany's Manager Magazin reported that Siemens wanted to break up its telecoms equipment unit Com and either sell parts of it or put them into partnerships.

The chief executive of Com had held talks with Finnish phone giant Nokia <NOK1V.HE>, among others, the magazine said.

Siemens has also been gradually withdrawing from high-tech, cyclical businesses such as semiconductors and electronic components to concentrate on more reliable earnings drivers such as power generation and healthcare technology.



To: Eric L who wrote (3872)4/16/2006 9:22:06 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 9255
 
SIEMENS FOR SALE? Why a company would put itself for sale knowing that their customer would stop considering is product stratight away?

Only because Siemens wants to cash in the chips before it becomes public knowledge that the mobile business is drying up in one year or two!!!

The mobile business reached saturation level.
It is a cyclical business and the business cycle is just about to end. Siemens knows that and want to dowload mobile unit. Lucent knew that and sold to Alcatel.

Perhaps it will end up like this:

Motorola and Alcatel/Lucent in America. Nokia and Ericsson in Europe and the rest of the world split among them

We may have some 5 years of build out with cut throat competition: Bangladesh, India, Iran, Swazilandia, Zambia…

SIEMENS FOR SALE? And more consolidation among the big boys may be on the way. For example, BusinessWeek Online has learned that Siemens (SI) is actively shopping what is left of its communications division.
It has already sold off a mobile phone business to Taiwan-based BenQ Corporation. One source says Siemens has been working with consultants from Booz-Allen on its strategic alternatives. While the company has hinted it wanted to keep promising pieces of the business, sources say it is now leaning towards selling off all of the $16.1 billion business -- most likely in chunks, since it's unlikely to find a buyer for the whole thing. Siemens says talk of the sale is speculation.

By buying Lucent, Alcatel solidified its position in high-end phone switches, particularly in the U.S. As a result, "Siemens has to decide whether to get bigger or smaller -- and the proponents of getting smaller are winning," says one industry insider who has been approached about buying parts of the unit.

Analysts say Siemens, like Nortel, has struggled to maintain leadership in the most important markets. The Munich-based giant recently saw Deutsche Telecom (DTE) grant a big contract to deliver Net-based TV services to Paris-based Alcatel, for example.

INTERESTED PARTIES. Who might the buyers be? Insiders say big wireless players such as Ericsson (ERICY) or Motorola (MOT) might want the Siemens unit that sells basic phone switches to phone companies. So might Cisco, though the company says it has no plans for another merger along the lines of Scientific Atlanta.

Others, including Avaya (AV), might want the Siemens unit that sells to corporations. If that doesn't pan out, there may be other options. "I've heard of some private equity interest" in some or all of the Siemens units, says Tom Nolle, president of consulting firm CIMI Corp.

However Siemens and the other established players fare, there's no shortage of entrepreneurs stepping up with dreams of becoming the Old Guard of tomorrow.

Jean-Charles Doineau, a Paris-based analyst for Ovum PLC, said a possible European acquisition prospect would be the communications group of Germany's Siemens AG, but it partners with other suppliers to provide complete telecom packages.
"If you buy Siemens, you buy the relationship and the customer base, but there are far less technology assets" than other large vendors have, Doineau said.

However, there's speculation Nokia is considering the Siemens unit that makes mobile network equipment, Doineau said. Siemens has already sold its cell-phone business to BenQ Corp., a Taiwanese company.
That leaves smaller companies on the list of possible acquisition targets.

"I think a Cisco acquisition of somebody is a possibility, a Nokia acquisition is possible, but they may not go after someone the size of Nortel," Yankee Group's Maynard said.
There's a second tier of telecom equipment suppliers that have billions in annual revenue but don't have the breadth of the giants. The larger companies could pick up one of these to fill a technological or geographical gap, Maynard said.
Shares of Tellabs Inc., a Naperville, Ill., maker of digital connection gear, are up almost 12 percent since Alcatel and Lucent revealed they were in merger talks on April 24. Shares of Ciena Corp., a Linthicum, Md., maker of fiber-optic equipment, are up 8 percent.

Juniper Networks Inc. of Sunnyvale, Calif., has also been mentioned as a takeover candidate. Its shares jumped on the merger news, but have since lost those gains. Prudential analyst Inder Singh wrote in a research report that the combined Alcatel-Lucent company would likely cut back on buying routers from Juniper in favor of Alcatel's competing product.

Schnee believes the stock market is overestimating the deal's effect on the attractiveness of smaller companies. It's more significant, he said, when the large carriers show interest in using a small company's technology.

If AT&T or Verizon Communications Inc. says there's a small vendor it takes seriously, Schnee said, `people have to start looking at them." In his opinion, that's what makes a company attractive, rather than mega-mergers in the industry.



To: Eric L who wrote (3872)4/17/2006 7:26:19 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 9255
 
the company struck a US $190 million deal with Nokia, allowing it to handle EITC’s managed services contract.

ELMAT In the trenches:

Breaking the mobile monopoly
by Andrew Mernin


In the late 1990s, the Egyptian telecoms market was beset with problems as a government-run monopoly struggled to meet the need of the country’s population. Then Osman Sultan launched Mobinil – a privatised mobile operator, paving the way for the tide of ensuing liberalisation.

Eight years later, as CEO of Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company (EITC), he has arrived on Middle Eastern shores after a stint overseas, primed for his latest mission – to conquer the UAE’s Etisalat establishment.
“We will never underestimate the competition, but we believe that we can counter it with a fresh approach, and if we are run properly,” he says determinedly with a clenched fist.

“If we put the customer at the centre of our operation, then I think we have all the elements to succeed.”
The early signs at least, would indicate that the UAE’s second mobile operator has been extremely well received by potential customers and investors alike.

With applications worth more than US $109 billion, EITC’s public share sale last month was 167 times oversubscribed with 225 000 applications made. According to investment banker EFG-Hermes, this culminated in the largest amount of revenue collected in the history of IPOs in the UAE.

And senior representatives of the fledgling Du brand have predicted that it will capture 30% of the UAE’s telecoms market in the next three years. However, in achieving this ambitious target, Sultan accepts that it will not be easy: “We are quite conscious that the level of challenge we are facing is very high due to the fact that we are up against a very
established company.

“We will make our customers happy - it’s very simple. Customer satisfaction is about hard, disciplined and
accurate work across all points in the chain where the customer encounters the telecoms provider.”

As media interest surrounding the Du launch reached fever pitch over the last few months, Sultan’s mantra in relation to his rivals changed to become: “We don’t necessarily want to offer something different, we want to offer something better.”
So what has been done to enforce this bold claim? EITC has taken several steps to strengthen Du’s ability to threaten Etisalat’s solidly built foundations in the UAE market.

A major step forward was the US $330 million acquisition of Tecom, the sole provider of internet access and fixed line services to 19 000 customers in Dubai’s free zones. EITC also acquired Emirates Communications and Technology (ECT) for US $326 million.

As well as opening a AED2.42 billion Initial Public Offering (IPO), selling a 20% stake, the company struck a US $190 million deal with Nokia, allowing it to handle EITC’s managed services contract.

But while EITC has been busy, its Abu Dhabi-based neighbour has refused to let the grass grow under its feet, and it too has branched out and diversified as it prepares to do battle in the new duopoly.

Last month, the company acquired a 26% stake in Pakistan Telecom Company Limited (PTCL) for US $2.6 billion and made a bid for a 35% stake in Tunisie Telecom.

Etisalat also agreed a deal that will see them pay US $54 million to telecoms manufacturer Ericsson, to increase their capacity for dealing with more subscribers.

Other recent developments have included the launch of a new 90-day connection package for visitors to the UAE and the opening of a new call centre in partnership with Dubai’s Road Transport Authority (RTA), offering traffic and travel information services.

Despite the fact that the UAE government is a major shareholder in both networks – it owns 50% of Etisalat and 50% of EITC at pre-IPO stage – it appears that fierce competition has already been generated. And Sultan has made it his personal duty to underline how genuine the
rivalry will be.

“The people we have brought in have international and local expertise and all of them have the mindset of working within a completely private sector competition-type marketplace. Regardless of the ownership of these companies, we are driven, our reason for being is to ensure that competition is going to play fully.”

The liberalisation of the UAE telecoms market, which can only benefit the customer and the industry as a whole, is something that Sultan is well equipped to deal with.

Throughout his career, he has been instrumental in overthrowing government monopolies, improving telecom networks and affording more choice to the customer.
In the 1980s and 1990s in Sultan’s homeland of Egypt, millions of Egyptians were on waiting lists for telephone lines, as the government’s poor infrastructure could not facilitate subscription levels.

According to the International Telecom Union, these waiting lists stood at 1.3 million in 2000. By that stage, however, a change for the better was already in motion.

In 1998, mobile operator Mobinil, spearheaded by Sultan, launched the first private-sector service. This was followed in quick succession by the launch of a second mobile operator, Click GSM, which later became Vodafone Egypt.

Sultan, who was also part of the liberalisation process in France during his time working for the France Telecom Group, is now relishing the opportunity of opening up the UAE market and taking it into a “brave new world.”

“I feel very excited and privileged to be a part of the liberalisation of the sector in the UAE. I have witnessed directly the phenomena of a transformation of culture that comes with the introduction of competition,” he says.
“Operators in the fast changing environment of telecommunication have to be built on a healthy financial foundation, because that is the only way to ensure growth, sustained profitability, and that is what liberalisation is all about.”

Du will launch its mobile services in the second half of this year and is likely to develop fixed line and broadband services in 2007.

The task of driving the ‘Du’ network forward within the new duopoly will differ from anything else Sultan has ever experienced. “Here, it is a multidimensional challenge in a country where things are really happening.

“In the UAE, I think the challenge is to think globally but act locally, to bring the cutting edge things from around the world here and keep up with the amazing development we are seeing.

“With all companies, investors and individuals coming here and feeding this economic momentum, it is a great opportunity for us.”

One particular factor that could hinder Sultan’s mission to liberalise the UAE industry is the uncertainty over the provision of internet access.

Internet users in the UAE currently dial up to a proxy server where they are restricted from accessing certain banned and censored sites.

While the UAE’s commercial free zones are exempt from these restrictions, it remains to be seen whether this will continue, following EITC’s acquisition of Tecom, the internet provider to the free zone.

As negotiations continue between EITC and the Telecom Regulatory Authority (TRA), another questionable issue is the use of infrastructure.

Details of how reliant the Du network will be on the current telecom infrastructure in the UAE and how much independent development there will be have yet to be revealed.
“There is an infrastructure existing in the country. So we will wait and see what the regulator says in terms of sharing some of it. The two players are negotiating under the umbrella of the authority of the operator,” Sultan says.
“Obviously we will have to obey the restrictions of the TRA, but we have seen signs that they want to be able to ensure the interest of the customer, but there are of course other considerations.”

One thing that is not uncertain is Sultan’s confidence in the Du brand. “I am passionate about this brand. I wouldn’t be doing my job if I didn’t have the ambition of being the new leader tomorrow. This leadership is not necessarily in terms of numbers, but also in terms of customer relations, innovation and creativity.

“We want to be a monolithic brand – one brand to offer all of our services. We wanted something that was short and concise, something iconic – it’s not English, Hindi or Arabic – it is an icon that can be understood by everyone.”
In capturing the market, Sultan aims to “attract new customers and convert existing Etisalat ones. There is less uniformity here in the UAE, particularly because of the ex-pat market, so we have to appeal to all languages and cultures.”

As well as competing with Etisalat on one frontier, the other battle for Sultan is to keep pace with the mind-blowing developments in mobile technology and the increasing demands of customers.

Today’s customer wants to “not only make calls, but carry with them their office, mail, internet, business relations with their company and their entire world – whether that’s the bank, the school, or the shopping mall. “Tomorrow, a mobile will be your bank, your transactions and even your television set.”

But it is not just technology that makes these exciting times for Sultan, according to HE Mohammed Nasser Al-Ghanim, director general of the UAE’s Telecoms Regulatory Authority. He told CEO Middle East that as well as the telecoms branch of the free trade agreement with the US being close to settlement (despite recent delays) a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Bahrain’s TRA had been agreed.
The MOU, expected to be the first of many between the UAE and other Middle Eastern nations, will enable TRAs to work together in liberalising and regulating the region’s telecoms market.

In light of the new duopoly, the UAE’s TRA has also begun discussions to create new competition policies, something they have never had to consider in the past. All of which will lead the Middle Eastern telecoms industry towards a more open, better-regulated future and will assist Sultan in his role as the liberaliser.

Although a number of uncertainties remain on how the new duopoly will operate as discussions continue behind closed doors, one thing that remains clear is Sultan’s unwavering conviction to satisfying his customers.

“The more things become complex and complicated, the more ultimately it’s about people. Our business, our industry is about the communication of people, and if we meet their needs then we are doing our job.”

If Sultan can complete his crusade in opening the UAE market, using his expertise in bringing telecoms monopolies down to their knees, then he will more than meet these customer needs.