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To: venividivici who wrote (131862)4/16/2006 4:58:11 PM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 209892
 
I noticed over the years that if you start seeing overlaps and begin looking for "series" of 1's and 2's - yes, you may still be right - but the odds are not quite as good as when you have clean impulses with NO overlaps.

Btw, as I type, it occurs to me that on the NDX the October rally fits in quite nicely as a 3 of 3 - if you count from April of last year. If that's the case then the 3rd ended at the January top, and we are in what so far looks like a weak 5th.

This would suggest a bearish overall read: ABC-X-ABC, in which "X" is the August 2004 low.

(and this is from a guy who was arguing all weekend about the futility of coming up with specific counts.... LOL)



To: venividivici who wrote (131862)4/16/2006 6:18:40 PM
From: Galirayo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
[NDX] There's no E Wave in this chart ..

Just Horizontal and a Candle Confirmation off the 34EMA with a Morning Star Doji "Type" Formation. The Engulfer has been Over Ruled for the moment with this new formation.

stockcharts.com

candlesticker.com

The Look of the Double Top .. keeps me Wondering though. Could also be a Mini Cup .. with Handle forming off support.

Trend is Trend .. Bounce off the 34EMA says .. Strong Trend.