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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: D. Long who wrote (163955)	4/18/2006 4:26:16 PM
From: carranza2	Respond to of 793917

The real problem is that the consequences are truly unknown. The broad outlines of what they may be are as follows, but the list is not comprehensive and certainly not specific: 1.- Hizbollah terrorism in the US, perhaps a dirty bomb in a major city; 2.- Higher oil prices; 3.- Stock market dives; 4.- Worldwide hubbub; substantial US economic interests and assets damaged in riots and demonstrations throughout globe; 5.- Increased efforts on Iran's part to acquire nukes; 6.- GOP loses Congress and the Presidency as US voters become very angry; 7.- Israel suffers even more terrorism as Hizbollah gets active; 8.- European countries suffer terrorism; 9.- Sunni and Shia ties grow closer and our position in Iraq becomes untenable; 10.- Raid results in merely postponing the inevitable for a short period; 11.- Combination of only a few of these happening throws world into economic crisis, one we should not cause thanks to our horrible forex position; 12.- Since the Occult Imam doesn't miraculously show up, more chaos as the Hojjatieh promote it to get him out of hiding. I think Nos. 1-5, 7, 11, and 12 are practically guaranteed to happen. What are the pros of acting militarily: 1.- Postpone the inevitable for a substantial period of time, not a bad thing at all; 2.- Steps towards alternative energy sources are finally taken in a serious way; 3.- Mullahcracy falls [doubtful]; 4.- US no longer seen as paper tiger; 5.- NK thinks twice about acting; 6.- Delusions about Caliphate shattered; 7.- Israel is saved from an eventual nuclear hit. All of these, except for No. 3 are likely to occur, IMO. Where lies the balance? Not a decision I would like to make.