SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (58721)4/19/2006 11:42:04 AM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
>>What I layed out isn't the consensus view. <<

The consensus view is that the second year of the Presidential Cycle brings about a "significant correction" prior to the midterm elections, then the market rallies strongly in the last couple of months of the year. And the data from the past does lend support to that view.

I think that cycle may invert here.

>>Consensus view appears to be the real economy powering ahead in a low inflation low interest rate environment.<<

Very few people take the mainstream US media seriously. "They" tell Americans that things are "fine", the economy is "growing", unemployment is down, the war on terror is being won. Working people aren't as stupid as you think. That's why they buy stocks. It's an inflation hedge. LOL