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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (59139)4/22/2006 3:31:19 PM
From: Chaka  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
CEF is at 18% premium

That calculation uses prices based on London fix. Gold is up 2% since then and silver up over 6%, so premium is less than 14% -
still huge. I have been thinking of boxing my CEF for a while but haven't pulled the trigger yet (thankfully!).

centralfund.com



To: ild who wrote (59139)4/22/2006 5:31:20 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
That's hard to believe--but true. More than 18% premium for CEF.

That might in itself signal a temporary mania that has got gold ahead of itself.

Since Waterhouse wouldn't short it for me, I put the money into another little uranium stock, Pitchstone Exploration (PXP.V).

That's a huge arbitrage opportunity for someone: short CEF and go long GLD.

Of course, these "perfect" plays have a way of screwing up, which may in fact have happened to anyone who did that and got squeezed in both directions on Thursday. Not for the faint-hearted or those with thin wallets.



To: ild who wrote (59139)4/23/2006 12:53:05 AM
From: RJA_  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
>>CEF is at 18% premium

I'm a little confused about this premium thing.

I notice GLD was at a preimum of 1.94%
etfconnect.com

Essentially folks are paying 2% over the net asset value of the fund.

Why?

The fund attempts to match its price to the gold price. Implication here, is on the way out, GLD could trade at a discount(?).

Guys, does anyone have an explanation for the priemum (other than it seems folks are willing to pay it cause thats the market price)?