To: Nevada9999 who wrote (9771 ) 4/26/2006 4:02:39 AM From: LLCF Respond to of 78416 <Now consider ownership.> Exactly... 1.) if you consider "positions" rather than sentiment, then the statement: "The other fact is that the only thing rarer than a gold bull in 2000 is a dollar bull today" is actually completely wrong... in that case the only thing rarer than a dollar BEAR is a dollar bear tomorrow, and then the day after, and the day after that........... etc. 2.) When you use sentiment indicators in the stock marekt, commodity markets, etc, premably you're talking to folks that actually make a difference... fund managers, institutional investors, etc., actual meaningful buyers. It seems to me that poling such people about the $US is pertty meaningless at the margin except for 'maybe' very short term trades. Sort of like betting bearish on US stocks on such numbers when Billions poured into US equities AUTOMATICALLY (Pig in a Python effect) while buybacks and takeovers were going on at the same time (before printing stock certificates bacame a large industry)... only to the zillionth degree. 3.) Supply of US dollars is on automatic pilot, so it's all up to the same buyers who've been buying all along... the ones who 'say' they want to diversify out of the dollar. So far that's all talk... like some bureaucratic institution that keeps jabbering about change but really just hold their breath intil forced. 4.) So like snow piling up in an avalanche zone, poling the thrill seekers or beer guzzlers below is meaninless, no one patrols the currency markets... the "keep out" signs are posted and we wait for a catalyst. End Game: How far will the wave run out at the bottom, what (asset) will be left uncovered, and who be able to dig out and when? DAK