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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (73105)	5/2/2006 6:52:45 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Reagan period was very different. Stocks were coming out of the secular bear market, not going into it. Once this bubble market breaks down, and gets to the bottom where stocks are cheap, I expect a similar healthy expansion will occur in the US. Japan could be embarking on such an expansion right now, IMHO. For now, the huge US imbalances and debt have to be cleared before any healthy expansion can occur. Based on cycles, 2009 would be the start, but due to the Fed's spectacular efforts to perpetuate the bubbles, I think the healthy expansion cycle may be delayed until 2012. I think we are going into the currency crisis mode. Once that's done and over with, the road is clear for this bear. I will invest in US stock market, probably starting with the cheapest DOW stocks. -g- So far words from Ben did not calm the dollar, just caused a tiny bump, which means the foreign bond (bag) holders don't trust the US Fed anymore. Understandably so, since the inflation data is a total joke, and they are getting ripped off at these rates. While it is possible to have a currency crash without the stock market dislocation, I think it is highly unlikely.