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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (50528)5/4/2006 9:47:57 AM
From: Oblomov  Respond to of 116555
 
Televangelist couple at center of debt controversy
wfaa.com



To: mishedlo who wrote (50528)5/4/2006 7:25:54 PM
From: Earlie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
Mish:

Good comments:

Am currently slowly building up puts.... adding to house builders, expanding my techs and eye-balling the mortgage providers. Not in a rush but with premiums so low, it does provide one with significant impetus to fill at least a corner of the closet.

For a bit of speculation, I took on some HD Jan 40 puts.
Reasons:
HD's revenues have been jazzed by
- add-on activities of hordes of amateur home renovators
- HD is a major supplier to small and medium sized "local contractors".... who have a remarkable track record for walking away from their debts when the going gets tough
- HD has been acquiring suppliers to the heavyweight contractors...guys who walk, but do it with sophistication. (g)
- all of the above have been provided with plenty of HD credit (buy now pay 6 months from now, etc). Yes, they lay off the risk, but......
- stock price still juicy
- "real estate bubble deflating won't hurt us"..... say what? (g)
- options cheap
- hasn't attracted much negative press so far.

Probably no more than a donation to the put writers society of America. (g)

Best,
Earlie



To: mishedlo who wrote (50528)5/8/2006 3:56:40 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Another bird sound - NDAQ+NYX insiders to public: BAIL!, BAIL! ABANDON SHIP!

===========

NYSE insider sales - wow did they cash out a bunch!

biz.yahoo.com

$1.5B sold, no proceeds to company. And when you're that level of insider, you don't even have that pesky lockup period to deal with:

The parent of the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Group Inc. (NYSE:NYX - News), on Thursday announced the pricing of a $1.54 billion offering of 25 million shares at $61.50 each, less than two months after the Big Board went public.

Nasdaq just sold some paper, too:

yahoo.reuters.com

At least that offering was used to pay down debt. Gotta hand it to 'em, good time to exchange those wooden nickels for greenbacks - er, pounds, in this case I suppose.

BC