To: longnshort who wrote (6374 ) 5/13/2006 8:53:04 AM From: average joe Respond to of 36917 Canada would lose credibility if it withdrew from Kyoto: briefing note Fri May 12, 06:53 PM EST OTTAWA (CP) - Canada would lose international credibility and the ability to influence future climate-change negotiations if it withdrew from the Kyoto Protocol, say briefing documents prepared for Foreign Affairs Minister Peter MacKay. "Given the Kyoto Protocol's international profile . . . withdrawal from the Protocol would have important foreign policy implications," says the document, marked "secret." The analysis could explain why the Conservative government has chosen to remain within the protocol despite having fought it while in opposition, and despite deeming its targets unrealistic. "Canada would have diminished credibility in discussing options for what future commitments industrialized countries might make, having rejected its earlier commitments," says the analysis, obtained by The Canadian Press under the Access to Information Act. "Canada would also have difficulty contributing effectively to consideration of possible future commitments by the developing countries, like China and India, who argue industrialized countries need to make emissions cuts first." Canada's withdrawal would produce negative reactions from poor countries who are hoping to obtain access to emissions-cutting technology under the protocol, says the document. "Further, small island states . . . view serious action to reduce emissions as critical to their own survival threatened by rising sea levels." The briefing note says some Canadian businesses would oppose withdrawing from Kyoto because they want to participate in the international carbon-trading system being developed under the Kyoto framework. The treaty allows companies and investors in richer countries to invest in and profit from cuts in emissions in poorer nations. The World Bank reported this week that the global carbon market was worth $11 billion US in 2005. Ryan Sparrow, a spokesman for Environment Minister Rona Ambrose, played down the significance of the briefing notes. "Briefing books are filled with various policy options and recommendations from the department," he said. "Obviously, our new government is going to move ahead with our made-in-Canada plan. This government is turning a new leaf on the environment with a commitment to Canadians that money for the environment will be spent on the Canadian environment." In other Kyoto-related developments: -An Ottawa conference organized by the Engineering Institute of Canada called upon engineers and their professional bodies "to acknowledge the challenges posed by climate change and to adapt actions, precautionary or otherwise . . . to develop solutions to these challenges." The resolution was opposed by three out of about 300 engineers in attendance, said John Plant, executive director of the institute. -A federal report shows Canada's greenhouse gas emissions barely increased from 2003 to 2004, seemingly contradicting claims that emissions are rocketing out of control. Total emissions rose to 758,000 kilotonnes in 2004 from 754,000 kilotonnes, an increase of less than one per cent. Repeated references to sharp emissions growth are intended to reinforce the argument that Kyoto targets are not attainable, said Matthew Bramley of the Pembina Institute. "The reality is that we can still comply, but only if the government moves immediately to put in place the policies and measures that reduce greenhouse emissions while leaving the door open to investing in good projects in developing countries." ca.news.yahoo.com