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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (61477)	5/19/2006 5:27:28 PM
From: ild	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 110194

<<<If the economy slides into recession - no question, housing will get killed.>>> Don't you think that slowing in RE will guarantee a recession? Under slowing I mean: 1. No major RE prices decline. Maybe 5-10% in most speculative markets 2. 30% less RE transactions 3. MEW of (just!) $400 Bln Once recession starts in 2007 then it will be slow multi-year unwinding of both RE and lending bubbles. I expect RE prices eventually to plunge at least 30-40% but I'm afraid it will be TEOTWAWKI.