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Non-Tech : The Woodshed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: SwampDogg who wrote (39504)	5/19/2006 7:45:38 PM
From: yard_man	Respond to of 60929

talking my position again ... >>2 degrees lower << what psychological ingredients are needed for a crash?? A sense of invincibility?? A "must needs get in attitude." Everbody is getting in how bout you?? As horrible and awful as the fundamentals are for stocks in general -- I just don't see the above. I know it doesn't have to happen that way. But we are nowhere near that with commodities - for sure. Most of the folks I talk to say one of two things regarding the rise in commodity prices. 1. they allude to "unfounded fears" -- geo-political risks that really aren't that bad OR 2. it's all manipulation and gouging brought about by crooks-what-in-charge So there is a general disbelief in supply constraints -- even among some of the folks who have "played" the rise in commodities. No there's a several mile wide river of de-nile. And there is a lot of negativity regarding the overall economy. I think Bernanke gets a little honeymoon -- even though housing is sick, perhaps he gets a little temporary period where things look a little better with a lower USD ... then WHAMMO ...

To: SwampDogg who wrote (39504)	5/19/2006 8:25:43 PM
From: nspolar	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 60929

You comment is absolutely incorrect. Apparently your eyeballs are not calibrated. My wave 4 did not even take 6 months, running from the 3:5 to the 4:3. It was a precise 535. Most analysts piss that wave off as a C wave, which it is absolutely not. The 4th wave must reduce to '3', and a 535 does. Apparently you do not understand what a 3:5 and 4:3 indicate. If you think hard enough you might figure it out. Somehow I knew you would chime in.