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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: UncleBigs who wrote (61532)5/20/2006 5:45:26 PM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Housing has NOT been the only thing holding up the US economy, and in global terms it is simply one of many factors. Housing is prone to overinvestment and can go to unsustainable levels -- this is the oldest news in town. Housing has had its day in the sun -- and it can easily take ten years to wring out the excessive price increases in some markets. But in the end, housing is just a piece of the economy and we can withstand current distortions without seeing the sort of cataclysmic decline you forecast. We are on the other hand very likely to see a shitty economy with a long period of stagnation and rising inflation -- not a disaster, but far from being the sort of fun party we have been having up until now.

The big deal in terms of valuation is the dollar -- that dwarfs the impact of housing and we are likely to see it drop. That has huge and lasting implications for us and the rest of the world.



To: UncleBigs who wrote (61532)5/21/2006 11:02:40 AM
From: GST  Respond to of 110194
 
<Salaries and signing bonuses of fresh graduates took a double-digit jump in 2005 to a record average $106,000...>

usatoday.com



To: UncleBigs who wrote (61532)5/21/2006 11:08:04 AM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
<It's spring, and at the Indian Institute of Management (IIM) - a premier management school in this industrial town - the campus is abuzz with company recruiters offering fat pay packages to new grads. .

Bagging a $185,000 per year offer, Manan Ahuja, an affable 26-year-old lad, coyly notes that his salary package offered by Barclays Capital, a British investment bank, is far more than his father, a Delhi government bureaucrat, earned in his entire lifetime.>

csmonitor.com