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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: regli who wrote (51941)6/1/2006 2:35:06 PM
From: XBrit  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116555
 
Yeah, we only differ on timing.

My model is that the PoG spike to 730 was a speculative sideshow in the long term gold bull. Copper has had a ridiculous run-up considering that demand for real-world uses is relatively stable, and I believe PoG got caught up in that fever.

So my working guess is we have a pretty big pullback for now, probably to 550-600 range, and then over 2-3 months the weakening dollar starts to be the main factor and a slow steady rise sets in from the corrected level.

I may decide to play this with RYWBX rather than GLD from here forward. I sold all my GLD at 682.