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Politics : John Kerry for President Free speach thread NON-CENSORED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: American Spirit who wrote (1027)6/1/2006 3:20:07 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 1449
 
Jerome Armstrong, an Internet strategist for the Dean campaign and Moulitsas' partner in a political consulting firm, first encountered Yellin on MYDD, his now-mothballed blog

Message 19738582

To: LindyBill who wrote (26590) 1/27/2004 2:47:00 PM
From: LindyBill of 168258

On the Internet, nobody knows you are fifteen. I just posted from "Daily Kos" and said it was the best Dem.

Teen Blogger Turns Heads Online By Ryan Singel
Story location: wired.com

02:00 AM Jan. 27, 2004 PT

Stephen Yellin posts a minutiae-filled analysis of Senate, House and gubernatorial races across the country almost weekly on Daily Kos, the most-trafficked liberal political blog on the Net. Other posters laud his thoroughness and debate his conclusions.

He has landed a spot as a political operative with a major Democratic presidential nominee. He's walked precincts, volunteered for campaigns and run for office.

He is also 15 years old -- too young to drive to his local polling station, let alone cast a vote there.

Yellin is just a sophomore in high school, but in the blogosphere he is already a veteran.

Yellin, who goes by the handle MrLiberal and calls himself a Hubert Humphrey-style Democrat, has been hanging out with political junkies online since he was 13.

Yellin's posts are not of the "me too" or "your candidate flip-flops" variety. Instead, they read like memos written by a Democratic National Committee senior staffer.

A slice from a typical post: "Arizona-Democrats have cleared the field in AZ-1 for Paul Babbitt, the brother of former Arizona Governor Bruce Babbitt.... The Republican incumbent, Rick Renzi, won unimpressively with 49 percent in 2002 against a scandal-plagued and little-known opponent, who dropped out a few days ago to back Babbitt. This seat is a marginal one (I think Gore carried it, but don't quote me on that), but Babbitt's name recognition and Renzi's weak hold on the district give Babbitt a great shot at winning the seat."

Yellin's post continues, in similar (if not more) detail, to analyze races in Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Illinois, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Montana.

Markos Moulitsas Zuniga, a political consultant who runs Daily Kos, says that though his website is popular enough that he can be very picky about who guest-blogs on his site, he chose Yellin despite his young age, not because of it.

"I would be hard pressed to cite any other individual more attuned and informed on the nation's House and Senate races than Stephen," said Moulitsas in an e-mail. "The kid researches and follows hundreds of races. It borders on the obsessive. And given he's a teenager, this is a good thing to be obsessed about considering the alternatives."

Daily Kos readers may argue with Yellin's prognostications, but none question his ability.

One Daily Kos reader called Yellin the "Trippi of the future," referring to Howard Dean's campaign manager, Joe Trippi, who is credited by many for revolutionizing the use of the Internet for political campaigns.

Another poster who goes by the name Yellow Dog Dem wrote, "The kid is a budding superstar.... If you hadn't informed us otherwise, I would have thought that Yellin was a seasoned political operative."

Yellin takes the praise in stride and responds to questions about his life with a sense of confidence rivaled only by his knowledge of politics.

"I always say that while I can't vote, I can damn sure make a difference," he said. "It doesn't feel odd, it shouldn't feel odd, because all Americans should be doing this. We as a country need to be more involved, especially our youth."

Yellin started posting to political boards, such as the bipartisan board Our Campaigns and MYDD, in 2001.

Jerome Armstrong, an Internet strategist for the Dean campaign and Moulitsas' partner in a political consulting firm, first encountered Yellin on MYDD, his now-mothballed blog.

Yellin was a frequent poster and in the MYDD political-junkie prediction contest for the 2002 congressional and gubernatorial elections, Yellin out-prognosticated most of the 112 other participants, including Moulitsas, Armstrong and Billmon, a MYDD poster who now runs a top-tier blog called Whiskey Bar.

Armstrong is clearly impressed by Yellin and fondly recalls the teenager's first electoral effort.

"When Stephen ran for student council, he told me he had divided the school into interest groups, the jocks, the popular kids, etc., and tried to figure out where his support was and how to appeal to them," said Armstrong. "He was applying political strategy to a high school race."

Despite his political smarts, Yellin did not win a seat.

"I had a nice strategy," said Yellin, "but I didn't realize that the most popular people win, not the most competent."

The loss has not soured him on politics, however. He soon will be working as a youth coordinator for Stephen Brozak, a New Jersey Democrat running for Congress.

Yellin lives with his parents and his older brother, David, in Berkeley Heights, New Jersey, a suburban town that Yellin describes as "Republicanville." His father, Bruce Yellin, a computer engineer and salesman, proudly forwards Stephen's posts to friends and family.

But Stephen Yellin says he loves politics mainly because of the stories that his mother, Alice Avrutin-Yellin, who works as a substitute teacher, told him about her father: Harry Avrutin founded the Office Employees International Union in 1945 and was secretary of the AFL-CIO's New York City Central Labor Council for 20 years.

Stephen Yellin even set up his bar mitzvah as a political convention with all 50 delegations, but he admits the nomination was rigged in his favor.

Though he's already burned his way through Robert Caro's Master of the Senate, a 1,200-page biography of Lyndon Johnson, and Theodore White's insider takes on presidential campaigns in the '60s and '70s, Yellin says his life is not just about politics.

He also likes hanging out with friends and is a budding actor with a predilection for Shakespeare.

Still, Yellin spends a lot of time on the Internet, reading local papers and political news sites such as PoliticsUS, so he can prepare his articles, which he says only take him 40 minutes to write and edit.

"I think the Internet is going to help lessen the influence of the special interests and lobbyists," said Yellin. "I think that as more people turn to the Internet, you're going to see more informed and simply more voters. And those informed voters are going to demand better leaders and better government."

Yellin already has a strategy for his political future after college (Georgetown, George Washington or Columbia, he hopes).

"One -- get elected as a town councilman. Two -- get elected as state senator by 2021. Three, run for governor and win by 2029. Four, run for president in 2032 or 2036," he said.

But even if Yellin does not make it to the White House, Moulitsas predicts the teenager will do much better in the adult world of politics than he did in his race for student council.

"The kid has a serious future in politics. The only thing he lacks is experience," said Moulitsas. "While he'll have to finish high school and college to score those ever-important paper credentials, his true education will come from observing several election cycles up close.

"And after he's done with school, I'm sure my firm won't be the only one bidding for his talents."



To: American Spirit who wrote (1027)6/1/2006 3:22:56 PM
From: StockDung  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1449
 
Jerome Armstrong plans net mobilizing for presidential hopeful Warner

=================================================
Blog pioneer maps political strategy for 2008

msnbc.msn.com

Jerome Armstrong plans net mobilizing for presidential hopeful Warner

By Tom Curry
National affairs writer
MSNBC
Updated: 5:01 p.m. ET March 1, 2006

WASHINGTON - If Jerome Armstrong succeeds in refining the art of political warfare, Virginia’s ex-governor Mark Warner will be taking the presidential oath of office in front of the Capitol on Jan. 20, 2009.

Armstrong is an evangelist for Democratic Internet activism, the founder of the blog MYDD.com, an alumnus of the Howard Dean campaign, and the co-author of a new book called Crashing the Gate: Netroots, Grassroots, and the Rise of People-Powered Politics.

He coined the word “netroots” to describe a 21st century version of the grassroots, door-to-door, union-local politics that used to work so well for the Democrats in the last century.

One is more likely to find the denizens of netroots in a coffee shop with a wireless hot spot than in a United Auto Workers local hall.

A netroots activist need not live in Washington, D.C. He or she can be in Portland or Missoula and still have a national reach. At the netroots, Democratic activists across the country can in a few weeks aim at a House race and raise $500,000, turning a long-shot contest into a near-win.

That is what happened with maverick Democrat Paul Hackett’s near-victory in a heavily Republican House district in Ohio last year.

Now Armstrong is working for Warner’s political action committee, Forward Together PAC.

What he'll do for Warner
Armstrong’s task for Warner is to handle “anything that deals with the Internet or technology, especially with the strategic decisions that are made early on in terms of the vendor relationships, the people we bring on."

Why Warner, rather than, say Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh or New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, two other potential 2008 contenders?

“I’ve liked Warner ever since he won the 2001 election,” Armstrong said. “I blogged it, it was one of the first races I blogged on MYDD. I like his personal style of campaigning. I think it’s very effective and he turned out to be a great governor. He’s somebody who is not polarizing and yet enacted things that are very progressive and reinvigorated the Democratic Party here in Virginia.”

As for Internet-based tactics for the 2006 and 2008 campaigns, Armstrong said, “What I’m really looking for is for the campaign to use the Internet as a field mechanism. That’s where I really think it has power ... making it a tool for neighbor-to-neighbor interaction and persuasion. Taking what the Bush campaign did and making it more personal.”

The Bush campaign used Amway-style networks of one person being responsible for ensuring that ten of his friends and acquaintances voted for Bush.

Not ideological?
In his new book which he wrote with Markos Moulitsas Zuniga, the proprietor of the Daily Kos web site, Armstrong says the netroots phenomenon is “not an ideological movement – there is actually very little, issue wise, that unites most party activists except perhaps opposition to the Iraq War."

Asked how the Democratic netroots could be non-ideological, Armstrong said, “What I mean is that this is a movement that is born at a time when the Democratic Party is a minority. There’s not much room for ideology when you’re a minority because you don’t have much of a seat at the table.”

Armstrong’s and Moulitsas’s book is an urgent plea to the factions comprising the Democratic Party — abortion rights groups, environmentalists, etc. — to suppress their own self-centered agendas and “focus on the commonality of purpose” by electing Democratic majorities to the House and Senate.

They also urge Democrats to field candidates in all House races, a break with the traditional Democratic strategy of focusing on 30 or 40 competitive districts.

They cite case studies — such as blogger-supported Democratic challenger Stan Matsunaka against Republican Rep. Marilyn Musgrave in a heavily Republican district in Colorado in 2004 — where an increase in Democratic turnout in one House district can help lift a statewide Democratic candidate to victory. Matsunaka lost, but Democratic Senate candidate Ken Salazar won.

Critical of the old guard
Armstrong and “Kos” are critical of veteran consultants Bob Shrum, Tad Devine, Steve McMahon and others who they accuse of giving bad advice and producing ineffective campaign ads.

Armstrong, who is 42, hasn’t given strategic advice to a dozen Senate candidates or several presidential contenders, as Shrum, Devine and McMahon have.

But in the new world of blogs and Internet activism the barriers to entry to the consulting business have been lowered.

Armstrong says the veterans had trouble adapting in 2004. “When I worked at the Dean campaign, one of the things I handled was on-line advertising,” Armstrong recalled. “I could never convince (media consultants) McMahon and (Mark) Squier to shell out even $10,000 for web advertising in Iowa. And we spent millions and millions of dollars on television. I never got a single dime for Internet advertising in Iowa.”

Armstrong wanted to place Internet ads for Dean on the web sites of 120 small newspaper sites around Iowa.

Asked for comment on Armstrong's account, McMahon responded, "The Dean campaign used the Internet better than any campaign in the history of politics. We did everything we thought could and would be effective. I'm not aware of a single instance where the Internet team didn't get every resource it wanted or needed. At the end of the day, I didn't make the financial decisions, the manager did."

Joe Trippi was Dean's campaign manager.

The Old Politics prevails?
Even in an era of blogger-powered candidacies, some of the old ways of hierarchical, Washington-based politics seem to persist.

Many bloggers were passionately devoted to Hackett and his campaign for the Ohio Senate seat now held by Republican Sen. Mike DeWine.

According to Hackett, he was forced out of the Ohio race last month after Democratic leaders in Washington discouraged donors from giving to his campaign in his primary battle against rival Democrat Rep. Sherrod Brown.

At the end of 2005, Brown had $2.3 million in cash on hand, ten times as much as Hackett.

Asked about Hackett, Armstrong notes that he serves as a consultant to Brown’s campaign so he’s not an impartial observer.

He acknowledged that the whiff of old politics and the circumstances of Hackett’s exit from the race have caused hard feelings among some Ohio Democrats.

“Sherrod has to break through some of that personally and reach out and get across his message to those people,” he said.

But Armstrong sounded nonchalant about Hackett: “The real reason Hackett couldn’t go on is because he got squeezed on the money end. But you know what: on the Dean campaign that’s what we did in the last three months of 2003; that’s the exact same tactic we used. We squeezed all the money out of Edwards, Kerry, Lieberman, Gephardt. That’s a tactic that has nothing to do with people-powered campaigns or anything — it’s just the reality of politics.”

© 2006 MSNBC.com

URL: msnbc.msn.com