To: etchmeister who wrote (19259 ) 6/6/2006 7:37:40 AM From: Proud_Infidel Respond to of 25522 Analysts: LCDs to finally dethrone CRTs Spencer Chin EE Times (06/05/2006 9:23 PM EDT) SAN FRANCISCO — The news has been coming for a long time, but it looks like liquid crystal displays are finally set to overtake cathode-ray-tubes as the preferred display technology. At the Society for Information Display (SID) Symposium Business Conference here Monday (June 5), several analysts gave their predictions on when LCD unit sales will surpass or equal that of CRTs. The analysts expect this to happen as additional LCD fab capacity brings a flood of panels onto the market at favorable prices for OEMs. Worldwide, 69 percent of monitors are expected to use LCD technology in 2006, rising to 91 percent in 2008, according to a presentation by Ross Young, president of DisplaySearch Inc. (Austin, Texas). But the real action is in TVs, where the percentage of LCD usage will increase from just 27 percent in 2006 to 48 percent in 2008, and 61 percent by 2010. The decline of the CRT will accelerate the trend of display makers shutting down CRT plants as capacity utilization continues falling, according to DisplaySearch. CRT capacity, estimated at over 250 million units in 2006, will fall to well under 150 million by 2010. Similarly, iSuppli Corp. (El Segundo, Calif.) sees the display universe becoming flatter, particularly in TVs where LCDs are expected to account for 48 percent of unit shipments by 2009, surpassing CRTs at 42 percent, according to a presentation by Sweta Dash, director of LCD and projection research. By 2010, LCDs will constitute 56 percent of LCD TV sales, she noted. A slightly more modest growth scenario was painted by Korea-based Displaybank Inc. A presentation by Displaybank president Peter Kwon projects CRT TV shipments to fall from 138.2 million in 2006 to 93.3 million by 2010, while LCD shipments will increase from 40.2 to 92.8 million over the same period. Though the long-term outlook for CRTs is gloomy, the technology is holding its own in low-cost monitors and TVs, particularly in low-cost areas like China. iSuppli noted in a separate study that TTE Corp., a joint venture between China’s TCL and Europe’s Thomson, became the leading CRT TV supplier the first quarter of 2006 with 11.2 percent of unit shipments. TTE surpassed South Korea-based LG Electronics and Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd., with 9.7 and 8.6 percent of unit shipments, respectively.