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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (188965)	6/10/2006 8:29:14 AM
From: jttmab	Respond to of 281500

The consequence of such actions would almost certainly be a new world war. On the spectrum of probability, I think it's actually closer to "unlikely" than it is to almost certainly but I don't object to his conclusion because of the consequences of a World War. It's unlikely at this time because there isn't anything that approaches a balance of destructive power in the mid-east. The only two countries that can even sit down to a poker game with enough stakes to play the game would be the US and Russia. I don't think Russia is going to play poker over the mid-east. Though you need to ask them. While there is a new risk [Thanks to Dubya] of nuclear proliferation that faces us, I believe the more likely balance of destructive power will be our nukes vs. their biological weapons [whoever "they" might be]. Bio-weapon research doesn't require anywhere near the national resources and facilities that nuclear weapons research requires. There is much in open source on biological research, DNA, DNA manipulation, creating "life" from the components that will be quite useful for the development and manufacture of designer bio-weapons. The poker game tactics will be different. We can blow you off the face of the planet with a simple push of the button vs. Maybe so, but you're going to die a slow and painful death in return. Let's play poker and see who is actually bluffing. jttmab