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Pastimes : NNBM - SI Branch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Clappy who wrote (52289)	6/10/2006 4:15:27 AM
From: elpolvo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 104155

BOC Delivery Boyz - Position Report 6-9-06 -- 17:50 MDT Yo Dusty. Talked with a very frustrated Dennis several times today -- most calls ended with loss of signal -- and as of 5:50 p.m. MDT, they were at 27:33 N 91:38 W ...and headed north to Atchafalaya Bay, about 50 miles west of New Orleans, the closest land. Dennis had called 10 minutes earlier and said they were headed for the Mississippi coast. Don't know what caused the quick change in plan, but that's the way the whole day has gone. They were still motoring and the engine was staying normal, after they made some unorthodox alterations in the seawater pump. He said they were short of fuel and nearly out of provisions and water, and they were going to the nearest land. I googled Atchafalaya quickly and could find no marina or boatyard. Don't know where they'll head when they approach the coast. I'll talk with them tomorrow. Remember the Kingston Trio song "Sloop John B"? "...this is the worst trip since I have been born." As we used to say when I was a real reporter: "Developing..." -HK Oh, by the way... I won't go to Corpus Christi tomorrow; don't know where I'll go or when. "Developing..." *************************************************** howard- my, my. this is getting very interesting following the boyz. i detect some personal dynamics interacting on the ship... mucho changes in plans with no real changes in conditions. what else would we expect after 30 daze at sea?? i suspect they're getting spooked by listening to the SSB NW Caribbean cruiser net. YES! there IS a tropical depression trying to form down near jamaica... and YES the forecast says that if it does form into a tropical storm it will move north into the gulf of mexico... BUT... it will not penetrate the high that the boyz are in and the shear over the gulf from the jetstream will steer it toward north florida. here is the NOAA synopsis and forecast for the area they are in: .SYNOPSIS...RIDGE WILL REMAIN STATIONARY ALONG 28N THROUGH SAT THEN DISSIPATE SUN AS LOW PRES...POSSIBLY A DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE...MOVES NWD ACROSS W CUBA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL SAT AND SUN...AND INTO THE E GULF MON AND TUE THEN ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA LATE TUE INTO WED. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE SUN THROUGH TUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND E GULF. NW GULF N OF 25N W OF 90W INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY 1030 PM CDT FRI JUN 09 2006 .TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...N OF 27N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT E OF 93W AND 1 FT W OF 93W. ISOLATED TSTMS E PART. .MON THROUGH WED...N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS SE PART. there is a chart attached of computer model tracks for this tropical storm if it does continue to form. some predict it will fall apart but regardless... the boyz are still looking at 1 to 2 ft. seas and 10 knot winds clear through wednesday (same old, same old) in their area of the gulf. it's interesting that they are heading for Atchafalaya Bay which is akin to the everglades... nothing but shallow swamps and big gators. answers.com i'm attaching a chart i made up with the projected course, the ocean currents and the forecast winds. i also drew an alternate course to port arthur, tx. which is about 80 miles further but would probably not take them much longer to reach, considering the winds and currents. port arthur would give them everything that Atchafalaya Bay does not have... food, supplies, fuel, ice, beer, shelter, communications and texans with rescue boats. maybe you can talk them into heading over there if they call again in the morning? i'd feel better about it... but maybe they'll have changed plans again by morning anyway. we'll keep our eye on the forecasts and hope the engine continues to work and they can get back to at least 100 nm days instead of the measly 33 that they made today. but tell them not to worry and don't share this wierd forecast from some blogger on dr. jeff masters' weatherblog site who thinks the national weather service and i are way off on our predictions: "Posted By: Hellsniper223 at 5:48 PM GMT on June 09, 2006. Newt3d... This is a weather Anomaly called Category 12. We will soon see two systems merge into a category 5 storm that will cut through all of the steering currents. Once it reaches land it will Exponentially increace in size and then engulf the entire US. The preasure will drop to 400mb and the storm will draw in air at such rapid rates that the Oxygen will split into free radicals Giving everyone Cancer and Burning out all life on the planet." -dusto the weather buoy