To: Land Shark who wrote (13143 ) 6/11/2006 1:24:54 PM From: E. Charters Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 78416 True, the average stock does not go from 15 cents to 15 bucks. A 100 banger. But many stocks start out that way, and if you look on the Nasdaq and NY and TSE not a bad number of stocks get to multi bucks. 1000's in fact. At one time they were much lower in price. No doubt at the first issuance and founding stage. How many fail on the way? Hard to say, but the multiple of stocks that are say 2 bucks to stocks that started out at say 25 to 50 cents has to be fair. Perhaps one in five or one in ten appreciated that many times or more. So how do you distinguish? Well many stocks appreciated in this last metals bull, perhaps 50 to 75% of them. So it is NOT that bad to assume that a small priced stock will go up the ladder, if they have fundamentals. And in a metals bull, i.e. where a good price regime that still exists, (trust me it will for some time as long as China and India grow), then we have business-oriented, occidental, not accidental companies, that sell metal, that will go from founding stage to several dollars. I could list ten or 20 that have good chances. Excellent I would say. We are not talking discovery, but more exploration and development. It is not that hard to see if you look at their announcements what stocks will expand, if management is at all competent and they don't get bogged down. They should have a production not a sell out plan, a cheap resource to develop and a sale path that is obvious for their metal. And they should be in a relatively stable country for development. I don't buy IMR because all the factors are not there. No path to development. Resource is not cheap to develop. Country is crooked and politics are uncertain. Open pit mining is banned in that province. Extraction process is problematic. Low grade, so capital will be huge. Mine? will take a lot of luck, and they could lose it all to Newmont AQI. A bad bet. China made me jaded for a long while, but some companies may have success there. Hard to say. There are relatively few companies in Canada that have a development intent, path, cheap resource, know how, etc.. Roxmark is one, Roca may be another. Who else? I would like to hear. Know of any that have intent and ability? Cheap capex resources? Good knowledge of what a gold or other mine really is? Metallurgy, ore values, structure, access, salability or metal, etc..? Who is out there? I can tell you of a few who have good resources, but no money right now. I know of a few who could make it. Right now they are weak. Historically Exall people did mine ore, so they might tackle the Gold Eagle extension. Deep, and expensive to get to relatively. But good ore. I don't believe they can do it thru the Goldcorp shaft. That won't happen. Deepening the Mackenzie Island Shaft might make it. Do they see that? Will they do Cochenour access? Also possible. Can they? Now that is good for a 4 banger down the line. Harte. Good resource. But they gotta spend money to get to it. Their deep drilling is thru a major. Slow. Their better resource has to be manoeuvered on. Hard to get to that way. But they could produce and if they do at any per cent, their stock is dirt cheap. Dirt cheap. Pelangio I have not been crazy about in the past. But they have two good resources. Africa thingie is good, Ontario is not bad. Lakeshore makes me wonder if they will ever get off the pot in Timmins. But some stuff they got there is close enough to surface, and mineable. It could be done. Apollo people sound like never miners, but their Glimmer resource ain't shabby. Mill? Where? Tough. Intent? Who knows? Even Moneta-Acrex is a problem with an orebody. 650,000 ounces is nothing to sneeze at. Some of it is even high grade. When? Will they act? Can they, will they do it on their own? Only way it makes sense, but hard to finance at 17 cents. You never know what/who is possible. What deserves to go, I admit will not necessarily make it. Handing off to the mythical producer major and getting a fair cut is not my cup of tea. Not a great priced stock. Only the bench sitters insiders get any money out of it and not much. I know where there are 5 mines. Not deposits, not showings. Mines. 500 million dollars of gold in them each. Profitable. And cheap to get into and get. I would say a 15 cent stock on these resources could reach a few bucks. I know it could. That could create real wealth. There is no damn excuse not to do it. And If I don't know that then I don't know a damn thing about goats and cadillacs either. Perhaps a fair bet. I see the new drillers climb the ladder, like a 21 betting system that seems to win for few hands. I know 99% of them will not make a mine in far off la-la land. No point in betting too long. If everybody knew that, they would never get to 25 cents. But few will bet that they know. For now the promotion goes wild. What are the chances of a Francisco or Pierina? I don't know. Slim I would say. Gitennes did not make it. Many others did not. Far West. etc.. good methods, etc.. but no mine. Stock back in the crapper. GUY might make it. I don't know. Maybe. Guyana is better than most. I still would not put a mine in Columbia for any money. I am not that crazy about Peru either, although I will admit many promotions there will make money. I would say your low cent bets are as good as they big number ones. If you hedge the bets by a careful look at the various factors. I admit I assert on behalf of efforts that could make me a profit perhaps. But that could be the same as for promotion of any stock. I wish I had tomorrow's newspaper on a 100 of them and could read the bosses mind. I would live in the park and never lift a mining finger again. However I like mining. Finding gold and extracting it. Fascinating process that one can get your teeth into. They say once prospecting gets in your blood it is like a disease. You will never quit. EC<:-}