Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Juniors, Mid-tiers and Producers -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: emrs1 who wrote (13215)	6/12/2006 11:47:58 PM
From: E. Charters	Respond to of 78419

good question. sell the dogs, to find new dogs, or maximize your info flow and knowledge base of the dogs that bark outside your cracked window tremulously breached at the height of the bludde redde moone. obviously you need to know where to spend DD time. fun in the fun da mentals? or TA finally, or TA as method of picking. I favour scan fun fundamentals with a semi rigorous screen or tree system with an eye open to imponderable prejudice formation that couldbecome useful, the hunch thingie etc.. -AND- look at the wide screen TA with about 20 indicators of volume/price. Of course -- if you know for sure that the group has power, the market has power, and you think they are onto something with minimum obfuscation and max reality.. good track into a bull, then TA can wait for this inside track to play out. Don't over sell the fun da mentals to yourself. They have to sell to a jaded market too, and timing might be important. Shannon, Bayes, stat TA camarilla could become useful with all those goats and doors open. As I pointed out, there are quite a few Cadillacs out there and many started out as goats. eC<:-}

To: emrs1 who wrote (13215)	6/13/2006 3:47:54 AM
From: E. Charters	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 78419

In speaking of the number of trials necessary for making a judgement, Bernoulli observes that the "man on the street" believes the "law of averages." Further, it cannot escape anyone that for judging in this way about any event at all, it is not enough to use one or two trials, but rather a great number of trials is required. And sometimes the stupidest man by some instinct of nature per se and by no previous instruction (this is truly amazing) knows for sure that the more observations of this sort that are taken, the less the danger will be of straying from the mark. But he goes on to say that he must contemplate another possibility. Something further must be contemplated here which perhaps no one has thought about till now. It certainly remains to be inquired whether after the number of observations has been increased, the probability is increased of attaining the true ratio between the number of cases in which some event can happen and in which it cannot happen, so that this probability finally exceeds any given degree of certainty; or whether the problem has, so to speak, its own asymptote, that is, whether some degree of certainty is given which one can never exceed. Bernoulli recognized the importance of this theorem, writing: "Therefore, this is the problem which I now set forth and make known after I have already pondered over it for twenty years. Both its novelty and its very great usefulness, coupled with its just as great difficulty, can exceed in weight and value all the remaining chapters of this thesis." Bernoulli concludes his long proof with the remark: "Whence, finally, this one thing seems to follow: that if observations of all events were to be continued throughout all eternity, (and hence the ultimate probability would tend toward perfect certainty), everything in the world would be perceived to happen in fixed ratios and according to a constant law of alternation, so that even in the most accidental and fortuitous occurrences we would be bound to recognize, as it were, a certain necessity and, so to speak, a certain fate. I do now know whether Plato wished to aim at this in his doctrine of the universal return of things, according to which he predicted that all things will return to their original state after countless ages have past."