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Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Art Bechhoefer who wrote (32486)6/13/2006 4:01:42 PM
From: inaflash  Respond to of 60323
 
Regarding the rumor that Motorola might buy SNDK shares as an investment (which is different from buying a company outright), it would probably help Motorola stay competitive by providing them another profit center. More and more Motorola handsets come with a slot for trans flash (microSD), so why not invest in the company that's making all those flash cards and lower your own effective cost of those very cards? I find it a plausible scenario, but I doubt that Motorola would simply buy shares on the open market. Instead, they might engineer a deal whereby SNDK sells them new shares of preferred stock, exchangeable into common stock at a later date, somewhat similar to the last deal where SNDK sold convertible preferred bonds that can be profitably exchanged if the stock price recovers to somewhere near $80.

Exactly the kind of deals I think could happen (though not that likely will happen based on what is known right now). The danger to Sandisk with too many of these deals is that there is already a clump of CN at around $75 and the derivative deal around $85. Diluting the stock at around these levels again will place a significant fraction of Sandisk stock around these numbers. I'm not a big fan of TA, but I can see these types of forces being drivers towards "resistance" and "support" levels. A lot of expectations have driven the price to these levels, so it's likely that these levels will be quickly achieved, but getting past these levels will be a challenge. These deals can be win-win for both companies, but it has to be clear that it's worth the risk for both, and that's yet to be determined and may or may not be in the process of negotations right now. For the most part, we will only know the truth to these rumors if it a deal is worked out.