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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (63612)6/14/2006 2:48:54 AM
From: westpacific  Respond to of 110194
 
BONDS have 7 more years in the bull market.

Actually they hit a low again about a week ago.

This game is not over until about 2012.

West



To: mishedlo who wrote (63612)6/14/2006 11:51:50 AM
From: gregor_us  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Check. I Hear you. And it's an Important Point. My view that the 23+ year bull market in US T-Bonds is based on their supply, and the structural-fiscal situation of the US government. It's certainly been fascinating to watch this bull market die. It's been going on for a long time. The trend was powerful. As you know smart money got bearish on the End way too early. They've been spanked 9 times for every 1 time they made money. Sort of like a game of Walls like they play at Eton, in Britain. Everybody crashed up against the wall, nothing happening. What a grind.

Everyone jammed against the wall strikes me as a good image for how such a powerful bull market would end. Slowly, with hope given to both sides over a period of time, they they will be proven right.
etoncollege.com

Best, LP