SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Pastimes : Crazy Fools LightHouse -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ms.smartest.person who wrote (1174)6/14/2006 11:10:00 PM
From: ms.smartest.person  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3198
 
&#8362 David Pescod's Late Edition June 14, 2006

GALLEON ENERGY (T-GO.A) $27.42 +0.42
CAPITOL ENERGY (V-CPX) $ 4.50 -0.10
MISSION OIL & GAS (T-MSO) $12.00 n/c

It’s been CAPP time in Calgary over the last few days. The big
shindig where the oil and gas producers get together with analysts
and investors around from around the world and display their wares
and answer the hard questions.

The suggestions had been made that because of the interest in oil
sands, there would be a very large contingent of international type
investors that might even make up to half their crowd—and record
attendance numbers were expected. We didn’t make it down to see
first hand, but for those that did show up suggested that yes, there
was good attendance, but no more so than in past years and while
those we talked to did meet with international investors as to how
many showed, is still open to debate.

“With the recent correction in the resource sector as a whole, it
was the one thing that overhung the whole conference,” Genuity Capital’s
analyst Jim Welykochy tells us. He also echoed the concern of
several we heard that natural gas prices are a big worry. Welykochy
suggests that “you have the fundamental problem with natural gas—
supplies remain high, but you’ve also just gone through a time when
just about everyone seemed to be getting into oil and gas whether
they understood it or not and now that gas is a tad iffy, maybe there is
a bit of a rush to the exits.” (We should note that not just natural gas
was the cause of concern to some—with low gas prices, Fred Kozak
of Haywood Securities also mentioned the concern for coal bed methane
producers.)

When we ask Welykochy if there are any stories that stood out to
him, and could he please come up with three, he suggested that Galleon
Energy put on quite an interesting show and suggested that based
on their presentation, there is a chance that the company could yet
add up to a billion dollars in market cap down the road due to the
huge land holdings they hold that are currently about a million acres
gross.

Another story that stood out and one of Welykochy’s favorites is
Capitol Energy, the little junior that discovered the Dixonville Field, one
of the bigger oil discoveries made in Alberta in the last few decades.

They are going to be working on a water flood project to see if it can’t
significantly boost production. And if it does… Actually, you might
want to see their CAPP presentation first hand, just e-mail Sandra.

A third play of interest to Welykochy was Mission Oil & Gas, because
of their play in southeastern Saskatchewan that could become significant.

SOUTHWESTERN RESOURCES (T-SWG) $8.71 +0.40
It’s interesting to watch how some market analysts blow hot and then
cold, then hot and then, well, whatever. Usually it depends on how
hot your sector is and how well your last couple of picks have worked
out. John Embry, who always pulls in a good audience when he’s on
ROB-TV, makes an appearance yesterday and what is his number one
stock pick….Southwestern Resources. We’ve mentioned this stock more
than a few times over the last while, but look at the chart to your left.

That shows you what it and many other gold stocks have gone
through in the recent correction. For those who might have sold
some though at better prices, is it time to get back in? For those who
want a little more on Embry’s stocks, he recently pinned an article in
Investors Digest on why he likes gold and Southwestern Resources.

For a copy, contact Sandra at sandra_wicks@canaccord.com. We’ve
played it before and we think we will play it again, given its current
half price sale now on. When we touch base with Meghan Brown who
does the PR for SWG, she suggests they should have their prefeasibility
study on Boka by year end and that could be an absolutely
enormous project and in the meantime, they will be spinning out their
zinc assets in an IPO in the next few weeks. Probably not the best
time to be doing that, but still it will give the company some extra
cash. Canaccord analyst Wendell Zerb has a target of $19.40.

CONNACHER OIL & GAS (T-CLL) $3.44 +0.22
Talk about ups and downs! Connacher Oil and Gas
was one of those junior oils that for much of the last
18 months had a huge run—and then reality has hit
a bit as delays in getting their EUB decision and a
suddenly worrisome commodity price picture,
brought the company back to reality. We had hoped
to be doing an interview with company President
Dick Gusella, but he suggests at this point, nothing
is timely and maybe the best way for anyone to take
a good look at the company right now, would be to
see first hand the presentation they just made at
CAPP, the big hoedown for all the junior oil and gas
companies. To see their presentation, simply e-mail
Sandra at sandra_wicks@canaccord.com and she
will send it to you.

Disclosure: Mission Oil and Gas : Canaccord Capital covers this stock and has a Hold rating on it. (Hold: The stock is expected to generate
risk-adjusted returns of 0-10% during the next 12 months.) Southwestern Resources : Canaccord Capital covers this stock and has a Speculative
Buy rating on it. (Speculative buy: Stocks bear significantly higher risk that typically cannot be valued by normal fundamental criteria. Investments
in the stock may result in material loss.) Canaccord has recently participated in a financing for Mission Oil and Gas.


If you would like to receive the Late Edition, just e-mail Debbie at debbie_lewis@canaccord.com