To: Rink who wrote (202294 ) 6/15/2006 5:40:01 AM From: BUGGI-WO Respond to of 275872 [edited] @Rink - Capacity " Like all other DC NGA products their die size is large at 65nm so Intel won't be able to go to all say 33%?? DC/SC until 45nm because of capacity constraints (33% is a wild guess; to invoke a more reasonable number from someone else here I hope). " Nearly the same lines I wrote today on our german board. Eracer showed the "small" Intel DC DIE sizes, but forgot, that AMD will transition to 65nm. Its clear why he forgot this ... I'm not saying, that the 150mm^2 NGA is big, but when we look at the DIE-sizes which Intel normally is doing in HEAVY HEAVY volume, the tended to be at 100-130mm^2. A few times, less, down to mid 80, a few times more, just a bit over 140mm^2 and a few times at 200mm^2 which was always low-volume. So in the end, they will not shift to smaller versions before 45nm, which is a while away and 150mm^2 is at the very upper end, which they have done on massive volume. Keep in mind, that they also increased layers on 65nm. So they are only 1 under one. AMD = 9, Intel = 8, when I remember correctly. I'm not sure about Intels capacity, because they are doing very different pieces and they ramp and convert all the time, but when I look at this picture from their analyst day:pc.watch.impress.co.jp I'm seeing steady growth in wafer starts but not in the CPU region. Just take a look to the chipset side. It sucks a huge amount of wafers. Keep also in the mind, that they switch to 965 massivly which has a HUGE Die just under 90nm. I don't know this for sure, but the DIE-size for this chipset is imho by far the biggest one in the past years. In the end, they NEED the "new" capacity (old 200mm lines and 300mm too) just to supply all the needed chipsets and on the CPU side? Whats left? edit: " That leads to the question when AMD's mix of DC/SC will be on par with Intel's mix. I'm wondering if Q2 '07 would be a right guess. " Lol, just these lines I wrote too, without seeing your post. *ggg* BUGGI