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To: niek who wrote (1141)6/27/2006 1:52:13 PM
From: etchmeister  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42753
 
and thus foresee a relatively uninspiring near-term outlook for TSMC," Ong said. "Fab capacity remains tight at the leading edge nodes at 130-nm and below."

Not sure what they are looking for and I'm not going to bother anymore - tomorrow Micron.
Did you review latest Samsung update from June?



To: niek who wrote (1141)6/27/2006 3:33:46 PM
From: etchmeister  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42753
 
Some data from the heart and soul of notebook manufacturing:

Taiwan notebook makers shipped 13.8 million units in the first quarter of 2005, down 12% from the previous quarter, as inventory and supply issues served to further weaken a traditional down quarter. On-year growth fell to 38% in the quarter, compared to 48% during the same period last year.

It looks as units are actually up on year to year base (looking at the table -see link- unit growth appears very healthy - 30% or so) but the shift towards emerging markets and perhaps AMD caused drop in ASP.
So it's really not a unit demand issue like the report indicates - it's the drop in ASP.
niek
do you agree or am I missing something here
comments very welcome
digitimes.com