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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: shades who wrote (52904)	6/28/2006 2:37:51 PM
From: Eddy Blinker	Respond to of 116555

Are you putting words in my mouth? “ From what I saw he has a news component to his predictions - like he said he thinks he is already ahead of the big boys.” ” A good algorithm on a small pc can beat a poor algorithm on a more powerful one - is john Henry that much better than the teams of people against him? “ Shades, Thank you for reading, looking, thinking the unbiased way. I hope you are comfortable with the thought that I am not popular in the SI prognostication industry and that fact might reflect not only cross thread buzzing wise, on you. Out of principle members of the horse and buggy lobby can not get anything to work, what is not of their own design, they never understand- so they say - while discrediting as much as they can –what they do not want to understand. Some members are of such wicked design that they even warn about downloading because I might be virus infected. Typical short sellers behave. Basically, it is their precious volatility they want to protect. In house fabricated “ Volatility “ the very one allowing them to high jack Joe averages investments for the past 200 years. Using technical buzzwords and theories camouflaging their true intentions namely to short sell John Henry. Now it’s Joe average or digital Henry’s turn. My PC is old fashioned, my knowledge to work it, is as limited as my resources are. However my algorithm beats presently anything in global reach.( Excluding of course, all those black boxes, working for banks of banks.) Not beating market timing gurus predictions. But displaying where you are - Now. My algorithm is not even attempting to predict anything. I designed the number works to evaluate the ECHO news create on the last trading price of the DJIA Index. Already having successfully concluded the first step. Evaluating general news for Wall Street usage. That is my reason for me using big words “ miles ahead “. The blinker5 scale is the result. The actual scale has to be understood as amounts of digits first, actual numeric read out second. 0- the only 1 digit display the bottom. 3 digits nearest to bottom. 4 digits very close to bottom 5 digits represent the norm which is following it’s own scale understanding from 1-9. 10000 –30000 near the bottom ( not a good place to be- to start a trade, without knowing your brokers clock very well. 30000 to 99999 ascending means DJIA rising. When counter is jumping to 6 digits a rally is on. What it means is clear. The player regardless if he/she or your mother are acting as Disney Figurines like “ Bull “ or “Bear” the decision to act “ Now” is greatly facilitated. Because you know for certain, what you see is what you get, if you push the button “ NOW “ I have recorded a successful buy and sell order this morning which shall serve together with tomorrows FOMC meeting ( video of the entire day ) as the only Tutorial I will ever make. Kind Regards and thank you very much for informing about the MSFT video player. Eddy Blinker PS. I am talking here strictly about the game aspect of the blinker5 technology, because anything else will get me nowhere but to the madhouse.

To: shades who wrote (52904)	6/28/2006 3:33:01 PM
From: Moominoid	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 116555

There are lots of well know inefficiencies in the market that still persist. The Sell in May and Go Away phenomenon is one, that everyone knows about but it is still there. Why? And like that there are other inefficiencies to exploit. I don't really have an answer about why they haven't all been exploited to death. They just haven't. Maybe one day hedge funds will have enough capital and smarts to do it. But apparently they don't yet. Or the existence of an inefficiency of this sort causes traders to pile on and accentuate it? On the other hand no linear statistical model I have tried can predict anything useful about daily stock prices based on past daily stock prices alone. But there are other things that can be forecast with sufficient statistical significance to trade with the appropriate trading algorithm. Some people thought that the World was flat when it is so obviously round...