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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Eddy Blinker who wrote (52917)	6/28/2006 7:29:54 PM
From: Moominoid	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

Hi Eddy - OK I understand this but I can't see the video. My system that I have been developing says to be short too. I have backtested it and it works well. With stops it beats the market every year. All you need to do is enter a trade AH and put in a stop too. You wouldn't really need to sit in front of a screen to make money and beat the market. It is based on a time series model that can forecast some aspect of stock prices. Not the daily moves though. No linear time series model I have seen can do that in a way that is useful for trading. But it detects trends starting over 1-2 week periods. That's not analog. Sure I will still look at charts and stuff too. So what data do you actually use? Just because your system works, it doesn't mean another can't. After all as I pointed out why is the sell in May anomaly still there if the market is efficient? And January effects?