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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: russwinter who wrote (64804)6/29/2006 10:01:48 AM
From: UncleBigs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
good point. that's the reason why a recession might cause higher longer term interest rates. less recycled trade dollars, higher budget deficit might mean higher interest rates.

however, higher savings rate and risk aversion might draw more domestic money into treasuries.

it's unclear to me what will happen to long term treasuries as the economy slows.



To: russwinter who wrote (64804)6/29/2006 11:25:20 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
It's a crowded foreign central bank play but primarily for shorter term durations

Mish


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