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To: E. Charters who wrote (14762)	6/29/2006 8:50:54 PM
From: yard_man	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 78418

>>Harnessing one million computers one can predict weather in a smallish area, say 20 X 20 kilometres to an accuracy of 95% to 10 days out.<< what kind of sense does that make -- you model a 20x20 square -- in 10 days -- weather miles and miles away can affect the results in the 20x20 square -- Show me any serious scientist somewhere that claims you can predict temperature, pressure and humidity to within 95% accuracy -- that's laughable. What do you mean by 95% -- I don't even think you can predict whether or not it rains with that accuracy!!

To: E. Charters who wrote (14762)	6/29/2006 9:00:15 PM
From: yard_man	Respond to of 78418

here's local one to 3 day accuracy -- low high and precip r forecast accuracy details for Springfield, Missouri These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening. Click on the headers to sort by that column. Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall The Weather Channel 66.67% 77.78% 80.30% 79.55% 76.01% Intellicast 66.13% 77.59% 71.77% 80.65% 73.94% NWS Digital Forecast 60.61% 57.14% 87.12% 87.12% 73.02% National Weather Service 59.02% 59.02% 90.16% 78.69% 71.72% Accuweather 46.97% 44.44% 73.48% 79.55% 61.13% MyForecast 45.45% 36.36% 84.09% 73.48% 59.85% Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall NWS Digital Forecast 63.00% 55.15% 87.39% 87.39% 73.22% National Weather Service 59.70% 57.75% 88.59% 86.21% 73.06% The Weather Channel 57.55% 58.62% 85.76% 85.57% 71.88% Accuweather 57.24% 57.68% 86.02% 85.87% 71.70% MyForecast 55.33% 58.06% 86.88% 85.86% 71.53% Intellicast 58.10% 58.87% 81.70% 85.76% 71.11% If you are interested in this data, you might be interested in the incredible amount of data that ForecastWatch can provide. Whatever accuracy or skill data, reporting, or comparisons you need to make better decisions, we can help. Please contact us with your needs. We would love to help!